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Baystreet Staf - Tuesday, February 20, 2024
How To Trade Through the Complicated
Economy The economic data is complicated for traders. It sends out negative information that markets should perceive as negative. Yet stock markets trade higher on bad news. How do you navigate through the complicated economy?
Last week, markets digested higher consumer and producer inflation yet the stock markets did not fall by much. Still, tech giants like Adobe (ADBE) fell by 12.8%,
Alphabet (GOOG) dropped 5.63%, Microsoft (MSFT) lost 3.92%, and Apple fell by 3.46%. The economy is only complicated for traders who falsely believe they can control it centrally. The free market is simpler than that. Profitable firms thrive while unprofitable firms falter.
Invest in companies that are growing. Uber, Eli Lilly (LLY), Waste Management (WM), and Wells Fargo (WFC) are examples of firms that went up last week. WFC stock gained 8%. Wells Fargo is especially compelling after a regulator ended a cease-and-desist order about deficiencies and unsafe or unsound practices in the bank's risk management.
Investors should add hedges against inflationary pressures ahead. Oil prices are rising in the long term, so holding positions in integrated energy firms like ConocoPhillips (COP) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) should pay off.
In light of inflation pressures, expect high interest rates to persist for the rest of the year. This will continue to benefit banks like Wells Fargo. JP Morgan (JPM) should also thrive as one of the biggest banks.
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