(MENAFNEditorial)
We expect healthy growth in Kazakhstan's power sector over BMI's 10-year forecast period to 2023 in terms of generation and consumption. coal will retain its dominance accounting for over 80% of the country's energy generation by 2023. However non-hydro renewables will grow rapidly with a slew of foreign-financed wind and solar projects in the pipeline. The government also plan s to restart the exploitation of nuclear energy helped by Kazakhstan's vast uranium wealth. Power production will comfortably meet demand with Kazakhstan's dependence on energy imports decreasing over the 10-year period. For much of the forecast period system losses will be considerable but steady investment in transmission and distribution infrastructure will narrow the supply/demand gap significantly .
Key T rends A nd D evelopments
* Plans for privatising the electricity sector remain live. In July the government confirmed its intention to list shares in the Kazakhstan Electricity Grid Operating Company Samruk- Energo Kazakhstan Temir Zholy and KazAtomProm in a People's IPO in December 2014. The final number of shares to be floated and the price will be decided in due course.
* Plans to integrate Kazakhstan's power sector into a regional market were boosted by the government's decision in June to sign up to the new Eurasian Economic Union. The trade bloc which is due to be launched in January 2015 consists initially of Russia and Belarus but will potentially also include Armenia Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan.
* In a bid to improve the internal distribution of electricity the government embarked on construction of a 1500km north-south transmission line in July. Meanwhile the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) agreed a mandate letter with the government on financing a USD25mn project to modernise electricity distribution networks in the Kyzylorda region.
* The government's commitment to developing its renewables sector took a...
Full Report Details at
- http://www.fastmr.com/prod/878984_kazakhstan_power_report_q4_2014.aspx?afid=101
The Kazakhstan Power Report features Business Monitor International (BMI)'s market assessment and independent forecasts covering electricity generation (coal gas oil nuclear hydro and non-hydro renewables) electricity consumption trade transmission and distribution losses and electricity generating capacity.
The Kazakhstan Power Report also analyses the impact of regulatory changes recent developments and the background macroeconomic outlook and features competitive landscapes comparing national and multinational operators by sales market share investments projects partners and expansion strategies.
Key Benefits
* Use BMI's independent industry forecasts for Kazakhstan to test other views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic planning in the power market.
* Target business opportunities and risks Kazakhstan's power sector through our reviews of latest power industry trends regulatory changes and major deals projects and investments in Kazakhstan
* Assess the activities strategy and market position of your competitors partners and clients via our Competitive Landscape analysis.
Coverage
BMI Industry View
Summary of BMI's key industry forecasts views and trend analysis covering power markets regulatory changes major investments projects and company developments.
Industry SWOT Analysis
Analysis of the major Strengths Weaknesses Opportunities and Threats within the power sector and within the broader political economic and business environment.
Regional Overview
The Regional Overview provides a comparative context from within which one can assess the relative profitability of the power industry in a given country incorporating BMI's country risk macro forecasts into our regional analysis. They also detail any relevant issues or events that might cause market fluctuations as well as evaluate the impact of existing power infrastructure and fresh investments on the regional market.
BMI Industry Forecasts
The Industry Forecasts provide historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for electricity generation (TWh) and electricity generating capacity (MW) for each individual power segment present in the country. These forecasts are in turn supported by explicit assumptions in conjunction with analysis of the key risks to the main forecast. These in turn are broken down into:
Electricity Generation forecasts for Thermal Coal Gas Oil Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables. For this section we provide information on electricity generation (TWh) % growth year-on-year KWh per capita and the % of total electricity generation. The thermal fuels (coal gas and oil) also have figures for their % of total thermal electricity generation.
Electricity Generating Capacity offers forecasts for the potential net capacity and net capacity growth % change year-on-year for the whole power industry. It also includes individual forecasts for capacity (MW) capacity growth % change year-on-year and % of total capacity for Thermal Nuclear Hydro and Non-Hydro Renewables.
The section also includes historic data series and forecasts to end-2018 for:
Electricity Consumption encompassing information on net consumption (TWh) net consumption growth % change year-on-year and net consumption per capita (KWh).
Transmission And Distribution Losses comprising predictions on Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses (TWh) and Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses % of Output.
Electricity Trade offering historical figures for imports and exports and forecasts for net imports (TWh).
Market Overview
This section provides an overview of the industry landscape and key players; assessment of the business operating environment and the latest regulatory developments.
Risk/Reward Rankings
BMI's Power Risk/reward Rankings provide fully comparable rankings aimed at investors (power companies services companies and equity investors) in the regional power market. The rankings methodology makes sophisticated use of various industry economic and demographic data points and is part of BMI's integrated Country Risk-Industry Rankings products.
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