
Kospi Rally Shows Trump's Trade War Worries Way Overblown
The Kospi index closed at a record high on Thursday, climbing 2.49% to 3,748.37, after the International Monetary Fund raised its 2025 growth forecast for South Korea to 0.9% from 0.8%.
This upgrade might seem marginal, but its significance lies in what it represents, which is a clear acknowledgement that the global economy is withstanding, and even adjusting to, the headwinds of tariffs, realignment and policy uncertainty.
The IMF didn't just lift its view on South Korea; it also nudged up its global growth projection, saying the impact of Trump's tariffs was“at the modest end of the range.”
For an institution that typically errs on the side of caution, that phrase is telling. It means the world is proving far more resilient than predicted, and the global trading system, despite the political noise, remains largely open for business.
South Korea is a clear example of that resilience in action. The country's export machine has long been a bellwether for global industrial health. Its markets are highly sensitive to fluctuations in semiconductor demand, automobile sales, and shipping volumes - sectors that reflect the pulse of world trade.
The IMF's optimism, combined with renewed diplomatic activity between Seoul and Washington, is helping investors look beyond the tariffs and see opportunity.
US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told CNBC this week that Washington is“about to finish up” trade negotiations with South Korea.

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