Poll predictor evaluates 2024 US presidential race
Date
7/25/2024 6:00:35 AM
(MENAFN) Allan Lichtman, a renowned American history professor known for accurately predicting past US presidential elections, has assessed Vice President Kamala Harris's potential path to victory in the upcoming November election. Following President Joe Biden's announcement on Sunday that he will not seek re-election and has endorsed Harris as the Democratic nominee, Lichtman acknowledged the significant challenges this decision poses for the Democratic Party.
Using his predictive "13 keys" system to evaluate presidential races, Lichtman highlighted the impact of Biden's withdrawal, noting the loss of the incumbency key for the Democrats. However, he pointed out that Harris could still secure the contest key if she secures two-thirds of the delegate votes at the Democratic National Convention.
"He's out, so they lose the incumbency key, but they still can retain the contest key," Lichtman explained, emphasizing the strategic importance of delegate support within the Democratic Party's nomination process.
The endorsement by President Biden marks a pivotal moment in the Democratic primary race, shifting attention to Harris as a potential front-runner against Republican nominee Donald Trump. Lichtman's analysis underscores the complex dynamics shaping the 2024 election landscape, where internal party dynamics and strategic calculations will play a crucial role in determining the eventual nominee and their electoral prospects.
As Harris navigates this pivotal moment in her political career, observers and analysts alike will closely monitor how she leverages her candidacy and navigates the challenges posed by the absence of incumbency, setting the stage for a closely watched and potentially transformative election cycle in American politics.
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