UN reports international population peaking earlier, declining faster
Date
7/14/2024 7:27:37 AM
(MENAFN) A recent United Nations report predicts that the global population will increase by over 2 billion people in the coming decades, reaching an estimated peak of around 10.3 billion. However, this peak is expected to occur in the 2080s, followed by a significant decline in population numbers.
The report highlights a notable demographic shift, indicating that while many European countries have already reached their population peaks, the largest number of nations projected to do so within the next 30 years will be located in Latin America and the Caribbean. Specifically, 19 countries, representing 40percentof the total, are expected to peak during this period.
These findings mark a significant change from previous estimates, which anticipated that global population growth would continue well into the 21st century. Now, there is an 80percentprobability of an earlier peak followed by a marked decline. John Wilmoth, the head of the United Nations Population Division, emphasized the stark contrast with projections made a decade ago, when the likelihood of the global population reaching a maximum during this century was estimated at only 30 percent.
In many regions, including the United States, immigration is anticipated to become the primary driver of population growth in the near future. The report warns that if immigration rates decline for any reason, countries may reach their population peaks much sooner than expected.
As the global demographic landscape continues to evolve, these insights from the UN underscore the urgency for policymakers to address the implications of shifting population dynamics and prepare for the potential challenges that lie ahead.
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