Aura Announces 2022 Annual Financial And Operational Results And 2023 Guidance
| For the three months ended December 31, 2022 | For the three months ended December 31, 2021 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Total Production1 (GEO) | 67,663 | 76,827 | 242,524 | 258,603 | ||||
| Sales2 (GEO) | 68,077 | 72,654 | 247,215 | 274,440 | ||||
| Net Revenue | 105,850 | 113,848 | 392,699 | 424,006 | ||||
| Adjusted EBITDA | 36,584 | 58,921 | 133,779 | 193,058 | ||||
| Cash costs per GEO sold | 826 | 676 | 897 | 765 | ||||
| Ending Cash balance | 127,901 | 161,490 | 127,901 | 161,490 | ||||
| Net Debt | 77,422 | (1,624 | ) | 77,422 | (1,624 | ) | ||
| Recurring Capex | (6,856 | ) | (13,994 | ) | (38,901 | ) | (63,978 | ) |
1 Considers capitalized production
2 Does not consider capitalized production
2023 Guidance
The table below details the Company's guidance for 2023 by business unit4:
| Production (thousand GEO) 2023 | Cash Cost per GEO (US$) 2023 | AISC per GEO (US$) 2023 | |
| Low - High | Low - High | Low - High | |
| Almas | 25 -30 | 830 - 955 | 954 - 1,098 |
| Aranzazu | 101 - 116 | 685 - 788 | 898 - 1,033 |
| EPP Mines | 56 - 64 | 786 - 905 | 1,271 - 1,462 |
| San Andrés | 72 - 82 | 981 - 1,129 | 1,081 - 1,243 |
| Total | 254 - 292 | 806 - 927 | 1,037 - 1,193 |
Production of 254 to 292 kGEO in 2023, representing an increase when compared to 2022. A significant contributor to the increased production will result from Almas starting ramping-up in April and reaching commercial production in July 2023. Additional contributing factors include:
- Aranzazu: Anticipating another year of stable production. Exploration is expected to focus on the geological potential of new mineralized zones, such as Cabrestante, El Cobre and Limestone Bridge with 20,000 m of drilling planned to 2023. All targets are near mine, some of which have been drilled in the past and indicated skarn mineralization but requiring follow up drilling. EPP: Production is expected to reach between 56 and 64 koz in 2023 (70 koz in 2022) due to the depletion of ounces from the Elephant zone where higher grades were mined. The Company is currently exploring multiple near-mine targets including Nosde and Pombinhas, with the goal of increasing the life of mine and, potentially, increasing production volumes into 2024. A 36,000 m drilling program is ongoing. The EPP Complex consists of multiple pits. In late 2022, Aura acquired a new Mineral Right along strike of the Japonês pit, an area that had historical artisanal mining, to better understand the continuity of the mineralization towards west of Japonês pit. San Andres: Anticipating a return to more stable production when compared to the challenges faced in 2022 with an expected increase in production volume with increased ore mined. Grades are expected to remain relatively stable vs 2022.
In addition to the production guidance for 2023, management's targets for production for 2024-2025 across its business units are presented below and in line with the latest projections.
Management maintains the previous annualized production target of more than 400,000 GEO annualized in the year ending December 31, 2024, and a target of more than 450,000 GEO annualized in the year ending December 31, 2025.
A chart accompanying this announcement is available at:
1) Considering 80% of the ounces to be produced by the Borborema project
Notes: 2023 figures are based on current technical reports for the Company's projects, except as otherwise noted. Please refer to the heading“Technical Information”. Figures for 2024 and 2025 are based on management's expectations based on a variety of factors, including preliminary, high-level studies for each of the assets. These targets are management's objectives only and are subject to certain risks and assumptions. See“Forward-Looking Information”. Includes ounces capitalized, when applicable.
Cash costs
- EPP: Due to the characteristics of its new mine operations agreement and due to the IFRS accounting standards, EPP is expected to capitalize about $ 14 million of its projected 2023 mining costs (“EPP Capitalization of Leases”) , which should have a positive accounting impact of $215/oz to $245/oz in its 2023 cash costs. Otherwise, an increase in cash costs in 2023 would be expected, mainly due to the lower grades as discussed above. Almas: cash costs included in the table above are considered for only the period after Almas enters commercial production. As anticipated, Almas is expected to have lower costs than EPP Mines (excluding EPP Capitalization of Leases impact), despite being in the same country, being smaller in size to apply the use of the same recovery methodology (CIL), as a result of expected much lower strip ratio. Cash costs for the first year are expected anticipated to be higher than the cash cost indicated in the Almas Feasibility Study published in early 2021 for the following reasons: (a) inflation between the date of the Feasibility Study (the“FS”) (effective as of December 2020) and first year of production; (b) lower grades in the first year due to changes in the mine sequencing; (1.16 g/ton expected vs. 1.31 g/ton for year 1 in the FS) (c) only six months of commercial production in 2023 (vs. 12 months considered for first year in the FS). On the other hand, current gold prices (above $1,800/oz) are significantly higher than the assumption used in the study ($1,555/oz); as result, the Company expects the profitability to be achieved to remain in line with FS numbers. Aranzazu: Expected increase in cash costs compared to 2022 ($680/GEO) is mostly attributable to copper price assumptions (assumption of $3.70/lb in 2023 vs. $4.00/lb realized in 2022). At constant metal prices, Aranzazu cash costs are expected to be similar to 2022, despite inflation. San Andres: Significant cash cost decreases are anticipated when compared to 2022 actuals ($1,222/GEO). In addition, the Company expects San Andres to benefit from a full year of operations with a new mine contractor, at favorable commercial conditions, reducing mining costs.
All-In Sustaining Costs
- Almas: AISC included are considered for only the period from which Almas enters in commercial production. As anticipated, Almas is expected to have a lower AISC than the Company's average, contributing to Aura's consolidated AISC. AISC for Almas for the first year is expected to be higher than the AISC indicated in the FS published in early 2021 for the reasons stated above and anticipation of part of Sustaining Capex (initially expected for year 2) due to the rainy season. Aranzazu: AISC is expected to be in line when compared to 2022 ($914/GEO) despite unfavorable copper assumptions for 2023 ($3.70/lb in 2023 vs. $4.00/lb realized in 2022), due to lower sustaining capex as Aranzazu is able to reduce the pace of primary mine development without creating production risks. EPP: AISC is expected increase as described above. EPP Capitalization Leases are included in EPP's 2023 AISC guidance. San Andres: Significant AISC decreases are expected as noted above, and Sustaining Capex is expected to decrease in 2023 when compared to 2022.
CAPEX
In 2023, the Company will continue to allocate capital to new projects and expansions. This primarily includes the final phase of construction and ramp-up of the Almas Project. The Company is anticipating approving the development of new greenfield projects (Borborema or Matupá) within in the first half of 2023. Therefore, this expansion was not included below yet. Further updates will be provided with respect to the start of new projects once available and the Company will inform the market and update is Expansion Capex guidance for 2023.
The table below shows the breakdown of estimated capital expenditures by type of investment:
| Capex (US$ million) 2023 | |
| Low - High | |
| New projects + Expansion | 34 - 40 |
| Exploration | 11 - 13 |
| Sustaining | 34 - 40 |
| 80 - 93 | |
Aura believes its properties have strong geological potential and management's objective is to expand LOM across its business units. Therefore in 2023, Aura plans to invest another total of $22 million to $26 million in exploration which includes:
- $11 million to $13 million in capital expenditures (included in the table above) in areas where the Company has proven and probable mineral reserves, around existing mine infrastructure; and, Another $11 million to $13 million in exploration expenses, not capitalized, in areas where the Company does not yet have proven and probable mineral reserves, which includes regional targets for potential new discoveries (not included in the table above).
Main investments in Exploration in 2023 (either Capex or Opex) are expected to happen at the Matupá Project, Aranzazu mine, EPP mines and in the newly acquired mineral right at Carajás (Serra da Estrela Project).
Key Factors
The Company's future profitability, operating cash flows, and financial position will be closely related to the prevailing prices of gold and copper. Key factors influencing the price of gold and copper include, but are not limited to, the supply of and demand for gold and copper, the relative strength of currencies (particularly the United States dollar), and macroeconomic factors such as current and future expectations for inflation and interest rates. Management believes that the short-to-medium term economic environment is likely to remain relatively supportive for commodity prices but with continued volatility.
To decrease risks associated with commodity prices and currency volatility, the Company will continue to evaluate and potentially implement available protection programs. For additional information on this, please refer to the AIF.
Other key factors influencing profitability and operating cash flows are production levels (impacted by grades, ore quantities, process recoveries, labor, country stability, plant, and equipment availabilities), production and processing costs (impacted by production levels, prices, and usage of key consumables, labor, inflation, and exchange rates), among other factors.
Non-GAAP Measures
In this press release, the Company has included Adjusted EBITDA, cash operating costs per gold equivalent ounce sold, AISC and net debt which are non-GAAP measures. These non-GAAP measures do not have any standardized meaning within IFRS and therefore may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other companies. The Company believes that these measures provide investors with additional information which is useful in evaluating the Company's performance and should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures of performance prepared in accordance with IFRS. The below tables provide a reconciliation of the non-GAAP measures presented:
Reconciliation from Income for the Quarter for EBITDA and Adjusted EBITDA (US$ thousand) :
| For the three months ended December 31, 2022 | For the three months ended December 31, 2021 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Profit (loss) from continued operation | 12,313 | 30,874 | 56,247 | 92,663 | ||||
| Income tax (expense) recovery | 3,748 | 7,072 | 26,832 | 32,440 | ||||
| Deferred income tax (expense) recovery | (826 | ) | 6,649 | (1,088 | ) | 22,796 | ||
| Finance costs | 1,771 | 1,606 | 7,397 | 8,189 | ||||
| Other gains (losses) | 1,098 | 931 | (1,157 | ) | (169 | ) | ||
| Depreciation | 18,480 | 8,711 | 45,548 | 34,061 | ||||
| EBITDA | 36,584 | 55,843 | 133,779 | 189,980 | ||||
| Impairment | - | - | - | - | ||||
| ARO Change | - | 3,078 | - | 3,078 | ||||
| Adjusted EBITDA | 36,584 | 58,921 | 133,779 | 193,058 | ||||
Reconciliation from the consolidated financial statements to cash operating costs per gold equivalent ounce sold (US$ thousand) :
| For the three months ended December 31, 2022 | For the three months ended December 31, 2021 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Cost of goods sold | (74,671 | ) | (57,287 | ) | (267,006 | ) | (235,669 | ) |
| Depreciation | 18,437 | 8,868 | 45,187 | 33,688 | ||||
| COGS w/o Depreciation | (56,234 | ) | (48,419 | ) | (221,819 | ) | (201,981 | ) |
| Gold Equivalent Ounces sold(2) | 68,077 | 71,689 | 247,215 | 263,483 | ||||
| Cash costs per gold equivalent ounce sold excluding Gold Road | 826 | 676 | 897 | 765 | ||||
Reconciliation from the consolidated financial statements to all in sustaining costs per gold equivalent ounce sold (US$ thousand) :
| For the three months ended December 31, 2022 | For the three months ended December 31, 2021 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2022 | For the twelve months ended December 31, 2021 | |||||
| Cost of goods sold | (74,671 | ) | (57,287 | ) | (267,006 | ) | (235,669 | ) |
| Depreciation | 18,437 | 8,868 | 45,187 | 33,688 | ||||
| COGS w/o Depreciation | (56,234 | ) | (48,419 | ) | (221,819 | ) | (201,981 | ) |
| Capex w/o Expansion | 6,855 | 13,705 | 38,900 | 53,628 | ||||
| Site G&A | 1,658 | 2,254 | 8,181 | 7,967 | ||||
| Lease Payments | 3,644 | 226 | 7,658 | 984 | ||||
| Gold Equivalent Ounces sold(2) | 68,077 | 71,689 | 247,215 | 263,483 | ||||
| All In Sustaining costs per ounce sold | 1,005 | 904 | 1,118 | 1,005 | ||||
Reconciliation Net Debt (US$ thousand):
| December 31, 2022 | December 31, 2021 | |||
| Short Term Loans | 73,215 | 58,169 | ||
| Long-Term Loans | 140,827 | 99,862 | ||
| Plus / (Less): Derivative Financial Instrument | (8,119 | ) | 2,779 | |
| Less: Cash and Cash Equivalents | (127,901 | ) | (161,490 | ) |
| Less: Restricted Cash | (600 | ) | (944 | ) |
| Net Debt | 77,422 | (1,624 | ) | |
Qualified Person
Tiãozito V. Cardoso, FAusIMM, Technical Services Director for Aura Minerals Inc. has reviewed and confirmed the scientific and technical information contained within this news release and serves as the Qualified Person as defined in National Instrument 43-101 – Standards of Disclosure for Mineral Projects.
About Aura 360° Mining
Aura is focused on mining in complete terms – thinking holistically about how its business impacts and benefits every one of our stakeholders: our company, our shareholders, our employees, and the countries and communities we serve. We call this 360° Mining.
Aura is a mid-tier gold and copper production company focused on the development and operation of gold and base metal projects in the Americas. The Company's producing assets include the San Andres gold mine in Honduras, the EPP gold mine in Brazil and the Aranzazu copper-gold-silver mine in Mexico. In addition, the Company has the Tolda Fria gold project in Colombia and five projects in Brazil, of which four gold projects: Almas, which is under final phase of construction; Borborema and Matupá, which are in development; and São Francisco, which is on care and maintenance. Finally, the Company owns the Serra da Estrela copper project in Brazil, Carajás region, under exploration stage.
Forward-Looking Information
This press release contains“forward-looking information” and“forward-looking statements”, as defined in applicable securities laws (collectively,“forward-looking statements”) which may include, but is not limited to, statements with respect to the activities, events or developments that the Company expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future, including production levels (including production levels expressed in GEO); cash costs and AISC across its operations; the timing and effect of the Company's Almas project entering production; the impact of new IFRS accounting standards; the ability of the Company to achieve its longer-term outlook; and expected capital expenditures. Often, but not always, forward-looking statements can be identified by the use of words and phrases such as“plans,”“expects,”“is expected,”“budget,”“scheduled,”“estimates,”“forecasts,”“intends,”“anticipates,” or“believes” or variations (including negative variations) of such words and phrases, or state that certain actions, events or results“may,”“could,”“would,”“might” or“will” be taken, occur or be achieved.
Known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors, many of which are beyond the Company's ability to predict or control, could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements. Specific reference is made to the most recent Annual Information Form on file with certain Canadian provincial securities regulatory authorities for a discussion of some of the factors underlying forward-looking statements, which include, without limitation, volatility in the prices of gold, copper and certain other commodities, changes in debt and equity markets, the uncertainties involved in interpreting geological data, increases in costs, environmental compliance and changes in environmental legislation and regulation, interest rate and exchange rate fluctuations, general economic conditions and other risks involved in the mineral exploration and development industry. Readers are cautioned that the foregoing list of factors is not exhaustive of the factors that may affect the forward-looking statements.
All forward-looking statements herein are qualified by this cautionary statement. Accordingly, readers should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. The Company undertakes no obligation to update publicly or otherwise revise any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information or future events or otherwise, except as may be required by law. If the Company does update one or more forward-looking statements, no inference should be drawn that it will make additional updates with respect to those or other forward-looking statements.
Financial Outlook and Future-Oriented Financial Information
To the extent any forward-looking statements in this press release constitute“financial outlooks” within the meaning of applicable Canadian securities legislation, such information is being provided as certain estimated financial metrics and the reader is cautioned that this information may not be appropriate for any other purpose and the reader should not place undue reliance on such financial outlooks. Such information was approved by the company's Board of Directors on February 27, 2023. Financial outlooks, as with forward-looking statements generally, are, without limitation, based on the assumptions and subject to various risks as set out herein. The Company's actual financial position and results of operations may differ materially from management's current expectations and, as a result, may differ materially from values provided in this press release.
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1 Gold equivalent ounces, or GEO, is calculated by converting the production of silver, copper and gold into gold using a ratio of the prices of these metals to that of gold. The prices used to determine the gold equivalent ounces are based on the weighted average price of gold, silver and copper realized from sales at the Aranzazu Complex during the relevant period.
2 Taking in consideration a study considering Q3 2022 results of 42 other companies which reported AISC
3 Available on the Company's SEDAR profile dated November 18, 2022.
4 For the GEO calculation, the Company used the following assumptions on metal prices: gold prices: $1,781/oz; silver prices: $22.15/oz; copper prices: $3.70/lb.
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