HVAC Aftermarket Analysis And Forecast 2025-2030: Impactful Trends, Technology Shifts, And Regulatory Pressures Shaping The Industry

(MENAFN- GlobeNewsWire - Nasdaq) The HVAC aftermarket offers growth opportunities through digital innovation, energy-efficient retrofits, and evolving service models. Companies can leverage technology, such as predictive analytics, and adapt to regulatory changes to enhance service delivery and performance, while optimizing supply chains and expanding regionally.

Dublin, Sept. 17, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "HVAC Aftermarket - Global Forecast 2025-2030" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets's offering.

The HVAC aftermarket is rapidly evolving, fueled by dynamic regulatory shifts, digital innovation, and steadily rising customer expectations. For senior decision-makers, understanding market transformation, emerging service models, and new regulatory landscapes is essential for maintaining competitiveness and strategic growth.

Market Snapshot: HVAC Aftermarket Growth Trajectory

The HVAC aftermarket grew from USD 82.09 billion in 2024 to USD 87.81 billion in 2025. It is projected to expand further at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 6.64%, reaching USD 120.76 billion by 2030. This trajectory is underpinned by the convergence of digital advancements, evolving environmental standards, and the need for equipment lifecycle extension amid volatile economic conditions. Expansion is also closely linked to the adoption of innovative business models and sustained investments in energy efficiency across prominent global regions.

Scope & Segmentation: Comprehensive Coverage of the HVAC Aftermarket

This report provides detailed analysis and segmentation of the HVAC aftermarket, allowing stakeholders to identify new growth opportunities and tailor their strategies according to sector and region-specific needs.

• Service Types: Consulting and engineering (including energy audits and system design), installation and commissioning, maintenance and repair (corrective, predictive, preventive), retrofit and replacement (covering both component replacement and system upgrades).
• Distribution Channels: E-commerce (manufacturer websites, online retailers, third-party marketplaces), MRO specialists, OEM direct sales, specialized distributors, and wholesalers.
• End Users: Commercial (education, healthcare, hospitality, office, retail), industrial (chemicals, manufacturing, oil and gas, pharmaceuticals), residential (multi-family and single-family homes).
• Product Types: Air conditioners (central, portable, room units), boilers (commercial fire tube, water tube, residential condensing), ducting components (fire/volume control dampers, flexible/rigid ducts, insulation), fans and blowers, furnaces (electric, gas, oil), heat pumps (air, ground, water source), and building management and control systems (cloud-based, on-premise BMS, control valves, sensors, thermostats).
• Regions: Americas (notably US, Canada, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina), Europe, Middle East & Africa (including UK, Germany, UAE, South Africa, Saudi Arabia, and others), and Asia-Pacific (led by China, India, Japan, Australia, South Korea, among others).
• Companies Covered: In-depth trends and strategies reviewed across market leaders such as Carrier Global Corporation, Trane Technologies plc, Daikin Industries, Johnson Controls International plc, Lennox International, Rheem Manufacturing, Emerson Electric, Honeywell International, Mitsubishi Electric, and Robert Bosch GmbH.

Key Takeaways: Strategic Opportunities in the HVAC Aftermarket

• Technological advancements, such as predictive analytics and remote monitoring, continue to transform service delivery and optimize system performance for end users.
• Decarbonization goals and evolving energy efficiency regulations are prompting companies to pursue both targeted retrofits and comprehensive system upgrades, with a heightened emphasis on low-impact refrigerants and modular system design.
• Omnichannel procurement is now standard, combining online marketplaces with specialist distributors to provide streamlined parts sourcing and consistent technical support.
• Rising customer expectations for rapid technical assistance and integrated solutions drive providers to blend digital interfaces with personalized service, reinforcing market differentiation.
• Complex and shifting global supply chain pressures are pushing stakeholders to adopt flexible sourcing strategies and invest in advanced procurement analytics tools.
• Collaboration between technology providers and traditional HVAC suppliers is accelerating service innovation, as companies expand into new geographical markets and enhance cross-functional expertise.

Tariff Impact: Navigating Regulatory Changes in 2025

The introduction of new United States tariff measures in 2025 is reshaping sourcing and cost-management strategies for HVAC components and replacement parts. Stakeholders are diversifying their vendor networks, prioritizing regional partnerships, and adopting modular, lightweight component designs to mitigate tariff-related expenses. This regulatory environment has underscored the importance of agile supply chains and advanced scenario modeling for sustained operational resilience.

Methodology & Data Sources

The findings in this HVAC aftermarket market analysis derive from a robust, multi-tiered research methodology. Insights were gathered through in-depth interviews with senior executives, comprehensive regulatory and technical literature reviews, and proprietary modeling. Trade data, patent filings, and financial disclosures were analyzed to ensure the resulting trends and forecasts are validated and actionable.

Why This Report Matters: Senior Decision-Maker Value

• Gain a clear understanding of the most impactful trends, technology shifts, and regulatory pressures driving the HVAC aftermarket market today.
• Identify targeted growth opportunities by region, sector, and product type, enabling informed investments and competitive positioning.
• Benefit from granular segmentation and practical recommendations tailored for leaders managing complex supply chains and evolving service portfolios.

Key Attributes

Report Attribute	Details
No. of Pages	180
Forecast Period	2025-2030
Estimated Market Value (USD) in 2025	$87.81 Billion
Forecasted Market Value (USD) by 2030	$120.76 Billion
Compound Annual Growth Rate	6.6%
Regions Covered	Global

Key Topics Covered
1. Preface
2. Research Methodology
3. Executive Summary

4. Market Overview
4.1. Introduction
4.2. Market Sizing & Forecasting
5. Market Dynamics
5.1. Rising adoption of smart HVAC thermostats integrated with IoT and AI-driven energy management
5.2. Impact of global refrigerant phase-down regulations on aftermarket retrofitting and service offerings
5.3. Growth of subscription-based maintenance services leveraging predictive analytics for HVAC equipment
5.4. Increasing demand for environmentally friendly refrigerant blends with low global warming potential
5.5. Expansion of remote monitoring solutions enabling proactive HVAC fault detection and diagnostics
6. Market Insights
6.1. Porter's Five Forces Analysis
6.2. PESTLE Analysis
7. Cumulative Impact of United States Tariffs 2025

8. HVAC Aftermarket Market, by Service Type
8.1. Introduction
8.2. Consulting & Engineering
8.2.1. Energy Audits
8.2.2. System Design
8.3. Installation & Commissioning
8.3.1. Professional Services
8.3.2. Turnkey Solutions
8.4. Maintenance & Repair
8.4.1. Corrective Maintenance
8.4.2. Predictive Maintenance
8.4.3. Preventive Maintenance
8.5. Retrofit & Replacement
8.5.1. Component Replacement
8.5.2. System Upgrades
9. HVAC Aftermarket Market, by Distribution Channel
9.1. Introduction
9.2. E-Commerce
9.2.1. Manufacturer Websites
9.2.2. Online Retailers
9.2.3. Third-Party Marketplaces
9.3. MRO Specialists
9.4. OEM Direct Sales
9.5. Specialized Distributors & Wholesalers
10. HVAC Aftermarket Market, by End-User
10.1. Introduction
10.2. Commercial
10.2.1. Education
10.2.2. Healthcare
10.2.3. Hospitality
10.2.4. Office
10.2.5. Retail
10.3. Industrial
10.3.1. Chemicals
10.3.2. Manufacturing
10.3.3. Oil & Gas
10.3.4. Pharmaceuticals
10.4. Residential
10.4.1. Multi-Family Buildings
10.4.2. Single-Family Homes
11. HVAC Aftermarket Market, by Product Type
11.1. Introduction
11.2. Air Conditioners
11.2.1. Central Air Conditioners
11.2.2. Portable Air Conditioners
11.2.3. Room Air Conditioners
11.3. Boilers
11.3.1. Commercial Boilers
11.3.1.1. Fire Tube Boilers
11.3.1.2. Water Tube Boilers
11.3.2. Residential Boilers
11.3.2.1. Condensing Boilers
11.3.2.2. Non-Condensing Boilers
11.4. Ducting Components
11.4.1. Dampers
11.4.1.1. Fire Dampers
11.4.1.2. Volume Control Dampers
11.4.2. Ducts & Fittings
11.4.2.1. Flexible Ducts
11.4.2.2. Rigid Ducts
11.4.3. Insulation Materials
11.5. Fans & Blowers
11.5.1. Axial Fans
11.5.2. Blowers
11.5.3. Centrifugal Fans
11.6. Furnaces
11.6.1. Electric Furnaces
11.6.2. Gas Furnaces
11.6.3. Oil Furnaces
11.7. Heat Pumps
11.7.1. Air Source Heat Pumps
11.7.2. Ground Source Heat Pumps
11.7.3. Water Source Heat Pumps
11.8. HVAC Controls
11.8.1. Building Management Systems
11.8.1.1. Cloud-Based BMS
11.8.1.2. On-Premise BMS
11.8.2. Control Valves
11.8.3. Sensors & Actuators
11.8.4. Thermostats
11.8.4.1. Non-Programmable Thermostats
11.8.4.2. Programmable Thermostats
11.8.4.3. Smart Thermostats
12. Americas HVAC Aftermarket Market
12.1. Introduction
12.2. United States
12.3. Canada
12.4. Mexico
12.5. Brazil
12.6. Argentina
13. Europe, Middle East & Africa HVAC Aftermarket Market
13.1. Introduction
13.2. United Kingdom
13.3. Germany
13.4. France
13.5. Russia
13.6. Italy
13.7. Spain
13.8. United Arab Emirates
13.9. Saudi Arabia
13.10. South Africa
13.11. Denmark
13.12. Netherlands
13.13. Qatar
13.14. Finland
13.15. Sweden
13.16. Nigeria
13.17. Egypt
13.18. Turkey
13.19. Israel
13.20. Norway
13.21. Poland
13.22. Switzerland
14. Asia-Pacific HVAC Aftermarket Market
14.1. Introduction
14.2. China
14.3. India
14.4. Japan
14.5. Australia
14.6. South Korea
14.7. Indonesia
14.8. Thailand
14.9. Philippines
14.10. Malaysia
14.11. Singapore
14.12. Vietnam
14.13. Taiwan
15. Competitive Landscape
15.1. Market Share Analysis, 2024
15.2. FPNV Positioning Matrix, 2024
15.3. Competitive Analysis
15.3.1. Carrier Global Corporation
15.3.2. Trane Technologies plc
15.3.3. Daikin Industries, Ltd.
15.3.4. Johnson Controls International plc
15.3.5. Lennox International Inc.
15.3.6. Rheem Manufacturing Company
15.3.7. Emerson Electric Co.
15.3.8. Honeywell International Inc.
15.3.9. Mitsubishi Electric Corporation
15.3.10. Robert Bosch GmbH

For more information about this report visit

About is the world's leading source for international market research reports and market data. We provide you with the latest data on international and regional markets, key industries, the top companies, new products and the latest trends.

Attachment

• HVAC Aftermarket

CONTACT: CONTACT: Laura Wood,Senior Press Manager ... For E.S.T Office Hours Call 1-917-300-0470 For U.S./ CAN Toll Free Call 1-800-526-8630 For GMT Office Hours Call +353-1-416-8900

MENAFN17092025004107003653ID1110075211