Polls shows British Tories encountering election elimination
Date
6/26/2024 6:58:24 AM
(MENAFN) The United Kingdom Conservative Party is bracing for a significant electoral setback in the upcoming general election scheduled for July, based on findings from three prominent polls released on Wednesday. These surveys collectively suggest that the Conservatives, who have held government for 14 years, are likely to experience a historic defeat, potentially marking an end to their prolonged tenure in power.
According to predictions from Savanta and Electoral Calculus commissioned by the Telegraph, the Tories are forecasted to secure a mere 53 seats out of the 650 in Parliament. This projection represents an unprecedented low for the party, with implications even suggesting that current Prime Minister Rishi Sunak could lose his seat in Richmond and Northallerton—a rare occurrence for a sitting party leader.
Similarly, a survey conducted by More in Common for the News Agents podcast paints a similarly grim picture for the Conservatives, projecting they could secure around 155 seats. Despite being the most optimistic of the three polls for the Tories, this outcome would still amount to less than half of their current 344 seats and even fewer than they held during their defeat in 1997, a pivotal year when Labour ascended to power.
YouGov's analysis aligns with the trend of Conservative decline, estimating they could secure as few as 108 seats. Each of these polls anticipates a worse outcome for the Conservative Party compared to their historically significant defeat in 1906, which resulted in a landslide victory for the Liberal Party.
Conversely, the surveys indicate a resurgence for the Liberal Democrats, with projections suggesting they could achieve their strongest electoral performance in years. YouGov anticipates the Liberal Democrats securing 67 seats, surpassing their previous record. More in Common and Savanta's polls also paint a positive picture for the Liberal Democrats, predicting 49 and 50 seats respectively.
All three polls unanimously indicate that Labour Party leader Sir Keir Starmer is poised to become the next Prime Minister, with projections suggesting Labour could win more than 400 seats—a significant electoral triumph akin to their landmark victory in 1997.
As the United Kingdom prepares for a pivotal electoral contest, these forecasts underscore the volatile political landscape and potential for significant shifts in parliamentary representation, signaling potential transformative changes in British politics ahead.
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