
Recurring Revenue As An Asset Class: Why Investors Should Pay Attention To Software M&A
Asset / Income Source |
Typical Return Lens* |
Upside Potential |
Volatility |
Liquidity |
Notes |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Investment-grade Bonds |
3–6% yield |
Low |
Low |
High (public markets) |
Rate-sensitive; limited growth |
Dividend-paying equities |
2–4% yield + price appreciation |
Moderate |
Moderate |
High (public markets) |
Dividends discretionary |
Real estate rental income |
4–7% cap rates + appreciation |
Moderate |
Low–Moderate |
Low–Moderate |
Capital-intensive; local risk |
SaaS recurring revenue (ARR/MRR) |
4–7× ARR deal multiples (private) |
High (via growth + exit multiple) |
Moderate (private-market) |
Low (illiquid until exit) |
“Bond-like” cash flow + equity-like upside |
*Illustrative ranges; market- and risk-dependent.(Good overview of investor comparisons )
The key difference is growth potential. Bonds and dividends tend to remain relatively stable over time. Software subscriptions can.
What It Means for Investors in 2025
Private Equity is deploying“dry powder” into SaaS because the asset behaves like a bond (predictable) but can be sold later like equity (growth).
Strategic Buyers are consolidating niches, building platforms in areas like ag-tech, fintech, and HR-tech.
Family Offices are moving down-market, buying smaller software firms as steady cash-flow machines to balance their portfolios.
For traders who follow public markets, this activity in private software mergers and acquisitions (M&A) is a signal. Acquisitions of smaller firms today often foreshadow where the next wave of IPOs or large-cap consolidations will happen tomorrow.
Risks to Keep in Mind
No asset is without risk. For recurring revenue in software, investors need to watch:
Churn: High customer turnover erodes predictability.
Revenue Concentration: Overreliance on a few large clients makes cash flow less secure.
Growth vs. Profitability Trade-offs: A business can burn too much cash chasing growth, which undermines the“bond-like” appeal.(For more on churn analysis )
Bottom Line
Recurring revenue is more than just a business model - it's becoming an asset class that investors treat with the same seriousness as dividends or real estate cash flow. The difference? Unlike traditional assets, recurring revenue businesses have the potential to scale globally, command premium valuations, and create equity-like upside.
For investors in 2025, ignoring the role of recurring revenue in software mergers and acquisitions (M&A) means missing a growing part of the financial landscape.
Author bio:
David Jacobs is a business broker focused on software and SaaS companies in the $3M–$20M revenue range. He has successfully guided founders through exits to both private equity groups and strategic acquirers. Learn more at davidjacobsbusinessbroker .
Disclaimer: The information contained in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, tax, or investment advice. David Jacobs is a California-licensed Business Broker (DRE #02097583) and is not a registered investment adviser or securities broker-dealer. The opinions expressed are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Barchart or its affiliates. Readers should consult their own professional advisors before making any financial or transactional decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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