US Intel Warns Pakistan Sees India As Threat, Upgrades Nukes, Leans On China For Support
US Defense Intelligence Agency report on Pakistan Pakistan is modernizing its nuclear arsenalPakistan primarily is a recipient of China's economic and military largessePakistan regards India as an existential threat twitter/966hZTqaM8
- Anish Singh (@anishsingh21) May 25, 2025
According to the report, more than 2,500 people were killed by militants in Pakistan in 2024, despite the country's ongoing security operations. Major concerns include attacks by Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan, Baloch militants, and ongoing border skirmishes.
In this evolving landscape, Pakistan has emerged as a key area of focus, says the report. The US intelligence report further highlights that Pakistan continues to view India as an 'existential threat' and is expanding its military capabilities accordingly. This includes modernizing its nuclear arsenal and developing battlefield nuclear weapons to counter India's superior conventional forces.
Despite internal counterterrorism operations, Pakistan saw over 2,500 deaths due to militant violence in 2024. The report notes ongoing threats from Tehrik-e Taliban Pakistan (TTP) and Baloch separatists, as well as frequent cross-border skirmishes with neighboring countries.
Pakistan's nuclear buildupPakistan's nuclear efforts are also a concern. The country is working to secure its nuclear materials and command systems while relying on foreign suppliers for sensitive technologies. Most of these supplies are likely sourced from China and routed through countries such as Hong Kong, Turkey, Singapore, and the UAE.
China-Pakistan bondChina plays a crucial role in Pakistan's military and economic survival. The report says the two nations conduct multiple joint military drills each year. One such air exercise took place in November 2024. However, growing attacks on Chinese workers involved in the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) have caused friction between the allies. Seven Chinese nationals were killed in such attacks in 2024.
US Defence Intelligence Agency report on ChinaChina probably also has considered establishing PLA military facilities in Burma, Thailand, Indonesia, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, United Arab Emirates, Cuba, Kenya, Equatorial Guinea, Seychelles, Tanzania, Angola, Nigeria, Namibia,... twitter/cG16fu3JNs
- Anish Singh (@anishsingh21) May 25, 2025
The report says that Pakistan's regional tensions have been escalating. In January 2024, both Pakistan and Iran conducted unilateral airstrikes across each other's borders, citing retaliation for terrorist attacks. While high-level diplomatic meetings followed, mistrust remains.
Meanwhile, in March 2025, Pakistan and Afghanistan exchanged artillery and air strikes, with both sides blaming each other for harboring militants. A similar clash occurred in September 2024 when Taliban and Pakistani border forces engaged near frontier posts, leaving eight Taliban fighters dead.
As global adversaries exploit emerging technologies and geopolitical openings, the report stresses that countries like Pakistan, already armed with nuclear capabilities and tied closely to powers like China, must be closely monitored. The US warns that the accelerating pace of innovation will only multiply such threats in the coming years.
The report further said that the United States is facing an increasingly complex global security environment, with rapid technological advancements transforming how threats emerge and spread. According to a new US intelligence assessment, developments in artificial intelligence (AI), biotechnology, space, cyber tools, and unmanned systems are reshaping modern conflict.
Adversaries are deepening cooperation, militarily, diplomatically, and economically, to bypass traditional US power structures. These trends are not only empowering hostile states but also enabling criminal networks and foreign intelligence operations to evade detection and target American interests in new ways.
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