Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

M&T Bank Signal 10/12: Cash Out?


(MENAFN- Daily Forex) Short Trade Idea

Enter your short position between $197.12 (Monday's intra-day high) and $203.96 (the upper band of its horizontal resistance zone).Market Index Analysis
  • M&T Bank (MTB) is a member of the S&P 500.
  • This index trades inside a bearish chart formation with rising breakdown catalysts.
  • The Bull Bear Power Indicator of the S&P 500 is bullish with a descending trendline.
Market Sentiment Analysis

Equity futures waver in and out of positive territory as markets await the Fed decision, where a hawkish cut is the base case, referring to a 25-basis-point interest rate cut with a hawkish statement that future cuts will have a higher threshold. The dot-plot chart will receive heightened attention. JP Morgan experienced its most significant one-day decline in six months after warning on higher 2026 spending amid rising credit card competition and AI-related costs. Oracle will provide the next AI test, as high debt and valuation concerns linger, while silver rallied to a fresh all-time high above $60, driven by tight supply and economic woes.M&T Bank Fundamental Analysis

M&T Bank is a regional bank holding company founded in 1856 with over 950 branches spanning twelve states.

So, why am I bearish on MTB after its recent pullback?

I remain bearish due to its declining operating and profit margins, the likelihood of lower interest rates, which will further pressure margins, and its slowing revenue growth. The worsening debt-to-asset ratio is equally concerning, and M&T Bank accepts lower yields to defend its market position. The 5-year PEG ratio confirms that MTB remains excessively overvalued, facing a struggling consumer, and decreased profit potential.
Metric Value Verdict
P/E Ratio 12.20 Bullish
P/B Ratio 1.15 Bullish
PEG Ratio 6.17 Bearish
Current Ratio Unavailable Bearish
ROIC-WACC Ratio Negative Bearish

The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.20 makes MTB an inexpensive stock. By comparison, the P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 29.21.

The average analyst price target for MTB is $218.88. It suggests moderate upside potential with rising downside risks.M&T Bank Technical Analysis

Today's MTB Signal

  • The MTB D1 chart shows price action approaching a horizontal resistance zone.
  • It also shows price action between its ascending 0.0% and 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement Fan levels.
  • The Bull Bear Power Indicator is bullish with a negative divergence.
  • Bullish trading volumes have faded during the recent advance and do not support the rally.
  • MTB advanced with the S&P 500, a bullish confirmation, but bearish catalysts have risen.
My Call on M&T Bank

I am taking a short position in MTB between $197.12 and $203.96. I am cashing out due to declining margins and rising margin pressures, a high 5-year PEG ratio, and MTB's quantity-over-quality approach.
  • MTB Entry Level: Between $197.12 and $203.96
  • MTB Take Profit: Between $168.09 and $174.76
  • MTB Stop Loss: Between $210.45 and $218.88
  • Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.18

Ready to trade our analysis of M&T Bank? Here is our list of the best stock brokers worth checking out.

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