Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

If Trump Attempts World Bank Retreat, China-Led AIIB Could Step In


(MENAFN- Asia Times) Donald Trump's animosity toward multilateralism and international organizations is well known. Just hours after taking office on January 20, 2025, the US president announced his intention to withdraw from the World Health Organization and the Paris agreement on climate change .

Could the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank be next? Certainly, supporters of the twin institutions – that have formed the backbone of global economic order for 80 years – are concerned. A Trump-ordered review of Washington's support of all international organizations has led to fears of the US reducing funding or pulling it altogether .

But any shrinking of U.S. leadership in international financial institutions would, I believe , run counter to the administration's ostensible geopolitical goals, creating a vacuum for China to step into and take on a bigger global role.

In particular, weakening the World Bank and any other multilateral development bank, or MDB, that has a large US presence could present an opportunity for a little-known, relatively new Chinese-led international organization: the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank – which, since its inception, has supported the very multilateralism the U.S. is attacking.

AIIB's paradoxical role

The Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) was created by China nine years ago as a way to invest in infrastructure and other related sectors in Asia, while promoting“regional cooperation and partnership in addressing development challenges by working in close collaboration with other multilateral and bilateral development institutions.”

Since then, it has served as an example of an international body willing to cooperate deeply with other major multilateral organizations and follow international rules and norms of development banking.

This may run counter to the image of Beijing's global efforts portrayed by China hawks, of whom there are many in the Trump administration , who often present a vision of a China intent on undermining the Western-led liberal international order.

But as a number of scholars and other China experts have suggested, Beijing's strategies in global economic governance are often nuanced, with actions that both support and undermine the liberal global order.

As I explore in my new book , it is clear that today the AIIB is a paradox: an institution connected to the rules and norms of the liberal international order, but one created by an illiberal government.




Chinese Finance Minister Lou Jiwei speaks during the signing ceremony of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank on Oct. 24, 2014, in Beijing. Photo: Takaki Yajima / POOL

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