(MENAFN- AzerNews)
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Qabil Ashirov Read more
Through Iranian ports, Armenia tries to expand its economic
relations with Asian countries. For this purpose, Iran and Armenia
have been holding negotiations for a long time. Local media outlets
claim that Armenia will use Chabahat and Bandar Abbas ports, and
Iran will provide Armenia with all relevant services.
However, many believe that Armenia will use these ports to
purchase military equipment and weapons from India rather than
conduct any trade with Asian countries. Statistics and the
behaviour of the Armenian government confirm such claims as well.
Armenia does not have a big industry to manufacture and export any
products. Moreover, the Armenian government intends to boost
tourism and IT rather than any manufacturing industry. As is known,
neither tourism nor IT need Iranian ports. Besides, 75 percent of
Armenian exports are diverted to Europe, including Russia, and 60
percent of its imports come from Europe. So, since Europe is the
main trade partner, it will be more advisable for Armenia to rent
ports in Georgia or Turkiye instead of Iran.
Speaking to Azernews , Dr. Mehmood ul Hassan
Khan noted that a very interesting development is happening in
South Caucasus. Armenia has approached the government of Iran to
use its ports, and subsequently, Iran has granted Armenia access to
its Chabahar and Bandar Abbas ports to facilitate its trade access
to India.
“In this regard, the proposed East-West transit route will serve
as a supplemental component of the International North-South
Transport Corridor in facilitating greater regional trade, however,
Armenian designs are not economic-specific and range from greater
socio-economic integration to alternative trade routes and
trans-regional connectivity, and last but not least, the building
of reliable security and military cooperation with India.
It hopes that Armenian ships would freely use Iran's Chabahar
and Bandar Abbas ports. Yerevan has been moving towards signing
formal economic agreements with Tehran to use Iranian seaports for
its arms trade with India. This development is a further sign of
Armenia's shifting away from Russia. It is crystal clear that India
and Iran strongly support the Armenian desire to assist in the
development and use of Iran's ports,” Ul Hassan Khan said.
He added that, moreover, it seems that the trilateral
cooperation among Armenia, India, and Iran looks to improve
regional transit infrastructure and elevate each country's
influence in the South Caucasus in the days to come. In a critical
analysis of the emerging socio-economic, geopolitical, and
geostrategic trends in the South Caucasus and greater Eurasian
region, it seems that Armenian increasing cooperation with Iran and
India has manifolds.
“It desires to consolidate its national military by having
strong defense cooperation in terms of high-grade sophisticated
armaments through the expansion of its trade options beyond the
Russian-dominated EAEU and post-Soviet space. It seems that Armenia
has already started its search for new security partners after
Russia. India has signed a contract in 2022 to import Pinaka
multi-barrel rocket launchers, anti-tank missiles, and other
munitions. Allegedly, the supplies were ferried via Iran, provoking
protests,” the pundit said.
He pointed out that Armenia's hopes for gaining immediate trade
access to India via Iran's ports may be premature and unrealistic.
The most recent surgical strikes by Iran in Balochistan and
Pakistan have already worsened diplomatic ties, which are on the
verge of gradual reconciliation.
“The emerging trilateral alliance in the shape of
India-Armenia-Iran would be the game changer in the South Caucasus
for so many complex and complicated reasons. On the other hand,
trilateral strategic dialogue and partnership among Azerbaijan,
Pakistan, and Turkiye is well-planned and based on numerous
commonalities and a joint desire for regional peace, stability, and
harmony. Whereas the India-Armenia-Iran alliance is
anti-development, humanity, peace, prosperity, and respect for
self-sovereignty and territorial integrity. India is playing with
fires and flames, and its outreach towards the South Caucasus
region may be another Far Cry to achieve the desired goals of
socio-economic integration, trans-regional connectivity, and most
importantly, security and military cooperation against Azerbaijan,
Turkiye and even Pakistan,” Mehmood ul Hassan Khan said.
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