Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Brazil Becomes FDI Magnet Even As External Deficits Deepen In 2025


(MENAFN- The Rio Times) Foreign investors are pouring money into Brazil at a rare moment when global investment is shrinking. From January to October 2025, foreign direct investment reached about $74.3 billion, already surpassing the total for all of 2024.

October alone brought in roughly $10.9 billion, far above market expectations and last year's figure for the same month. The government now talks openly about beating the country's FDI record of $102.4 billion set in 2011.

This is not hot money chasing quick gains in bonds or stocks. Direct investment usually means factories, energy projects, logistics, data centers and local subsidiaries that stay for years.

Over the last 12 months, Brazil received around $80 billion in FDI, equal to more than 3.6% of GDP. That is enough to cover the country's external deficit and still leave a cushion.

The global backdrop makes these numbers even more striking. Worldwide FDI fell by about 11% in 2024 to roughly $1.5 trillion, as trade wars, sanctions and new industrial policies scared firms away from risky bets.



Yet in the first half of 2025, Brazil was the world's second-largest FDI destination after the United States, ahead of much richer countries in Europe and Asia.

It also remained Latin America's main magnet for long-term capital, with an accumulated FDI stock near $1.1 trillion, close to half of GDP.

The picture is not all comforting. Brazil 's current account deficit reached about $5.1 billion in October and 3.5% of GDP over 12 months.

Profit and interest payments to foreign owners are large and rising, and Brazilians are spending more on travel and services abroad. The trade balance remains in surplus thanks to commodities, but that surplus is not as fat as it once was.

For a serious investor, the message is simple. Global companies still see Brazil as a place where long-term projects can succeed, even under a government that often sends mixed signals on spending and regulation.

The country's external accounts, however, will only stay safe if future governments resist easy populism, keep the fiscal house in order and allow private capital to turn today's inflows into higher productivity and exports.

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The Rio Times

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