Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Capital: Retail Traders Buy The Dip After Friday's Sell-Off, As Trump's Tariff Posts Keeps Participants Guessing


(MENAFN- Mid-East Info) The latest retail trading sentiment data from Capital shows a decisive rebound in risk appetite among traders following Friday's stock market sell-off, with retail investors buying the dip in equities while piling further into commodities as markets react to President Trump's threat to impose 100% tariffs on Chinese imports combined with the“it will all be fine” afterwards giving them a quick but partial rebound.


“On Capital's platform, sentiment data provides an early signal of how investors are positioning in response to policy shocks and spikes in volatility week's data captures a dual reaction from retail traders: a risk-on tilt as they bought into major stock indices at discounted levels after Friday's rout, but also a flight to safety in gold and silver as the tariff threat adds to previous factors that spur hedging,”Monte Safieddine, Head of Research, MENA at Capital. Indices

Retail traders on Capital bought aggressively into the market weakness, pushing sentiment to extreme bullish levels across most major indices:
  • S&P 500: up to 78% long from 72% the previous week.
  • Dow Jones: surged to 79% long from 57% last Monday.
  • Russell 2000: advanced to 80% long from 68%.
  • Hang Seng: highest among the main indices at 87% long from 76%
Commodities Traders also increased exposure to precious metals, opting to go with the trend and looking for reasons to go long.
  • Gold climbed to 77% long (from 68%), nearing extreme buy territory.
  • Silver rose to 80% long (from 75%), reinforcing its status as the stronger momentum trade of the two.
  • WTI crude sentiment held at a staggeringly high 91% long, due to shorts closing out and speculative longs getting squeezed

Trump's 100% tariff date on Chinese goods has heightened inflationary risks and triggered a renewed rush into hard assets, with retail traders viewing gold and silver as the primary safe havens amid policy uncertainty. FX

Currency markets reflected a tactical repositioning as traders adjusted to potential trade disruptions:
  • EUR/USD: shifted from neutral to a majority buy (61%), as traders anticipate potential dollar weakness.
  • EUR/GBP: moved from slight sell to majority buy (56%), anticipating modest euro strength.
  • USD/JPY: saw the largest reversal, flipping from a heavy buy (73%) last week to a majority short (56%) shorting into last week's price gains as they still see the haven yen as outperforming eventually if not initially.

“President Trump's posts regarding tariffs have put the trade war back on the menu,”said Monte Safieddine, Head of Market Research, MENA at Capital.“Retail traders are showing remarkable agility, buying into the equity dip while simultaneously hedging in gold and silver. This blend of opportunism and caution shows how responsive today's retail investors are to political and economic shocks, often reacting faster than institutions.”

Sentiment is gauged from over 750k active clients trading globally on Capital, w/w, as at 5am UTC,13 Oct , 2025.

Retail trader sentiment provides a real-time snapshot of market psychology, capturing how thousands of active traders are positioned across global markets. For platforms like Capital, which aggregate data from a large, diverse client base, sentiment acts as a barometer of market confidence - highlighting how individuals respond to price moves, news flow, and macro events.

About Capital

Capital is a high-growth fintech company empowering people to participate in financial markets through simple and innovative online trading platforms. Launched in 2016, its intuitive award-winning platform -available on web and app -enables investors to trade thousands of world-renowned markets. To help investors trade with confidence, the platform is fitted with robust risk management controls, transparent pricing and extensive educational content to support clients in their trading journeys.

Capital is one of the fastest-growing trading platforms in the sector with client trading volumes exceeding $1trillion. In 2024, the company was recognised as the fastest growing tech-enabled platform in the Middle East and Cyprus for the third-straight year by Deloitte Technology's Fast 50 programme.

Capital has a global network with offices located in leading business and financial centres including London, Dubai, Warsaw, Nassau, Sofia, Limassol, and Melbourne. Capital Com (UK) Limited is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) under registration number 793714. Capital Com SV Investments Limited is Authorised and regulated by the Cyprus Securities and Exchange Commission (CySEC), under licence number 319/17. Capital Com Australia Pty Ltd is authorised and regulated by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission (ASIC) under AFSL Number 513393. Capital Com Online Investments Ltd is a Company registered in the Commonwealth of The Bahamas and authorised to carry out Securities Business by the Securities Commission of The Bahamas with licence number SIA-F245. Capital Com Mena Securities Trading LLC is authorised and regulated by the Securities and Commodities Authority (SCA), under license number 20200000176.

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