Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Gen Z Protest: What's Next For Nepal? Can It Recover Faster Than Sri Lanka Or Bangladesh? Explained


(MENAFN- Live Mint) 'Genz' fury engulfed Nepal this week. Mobs burnt Parliament, torched vehicles, vandalised the president's house, stormed into Singha Durbar (the main administrative building for the Nepal government in Kathmandu), allegedly "looted" it and hoisted a flag atop the iconic building. They also violated the curfew orders despite warning and targeted several political leaders.

The grim scenes in Nepal bring back memories of Sri Lanka's 2022 economic crisis and Bangladesh's 2024 political turmoi . The protest in all these three country were led by the youth.

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Like in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh, the government has been toppled in Nepal as well. Nepal Prime Minister KP Oli resigned from his post on Tuesday to allow "steps towards a political solution".

What's next for Nepal? Who will rule Nepal now? When will the government and normalcy be restored in Nepal? The Sri Lanka and Bangladesh crisis may offer some clues.

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There's no conclusive answer to this as of now. However, these are the following options Nepal is likely to look at to attain normalcy in the country:

1. Caretaker government: Appoint a caretaker government until parliament decide on a new coalition government. According to the Associated Press, Nepal President Ram Chandra Poudel accepted Oli's resignation and appointed him to lead a caretaker government until a new one is in place - though it was unclear what power he would wield or even where he was.

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2. Army Deployment: On Wednesday, September 10, armed soldiers guarded the streets of Nepal's capital, ordering people to stay home in an attempt to restore order after mass protests. The Nepali Army announced nationwid e indefinite curfew from Wednesday.

3. Dissolve the government, formation of consensus government: Local media in Nepal called for dissolving the current government, with the prime Minister's post now vacant, and forming a new one.

An aide to President Ramchandra Paudel told Reuters news agency the president had accepted the resignation and begun the "process and discussions for a new leader".

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4. Civil unrest continues: The protest by the young and Gen-z is likely to continue amid deep discontent over corruption. Systemic reforms and institutional accountability may help resolve the current turmoil.

The protests revealed a broader resentment in Nepal, where many people have increasingly become angry with the government over a range of issues, mostly to do with corruption and frustration over nepotism in the country's politics.

5. Will King Gyanendra rule Kathmandu again? Many Nepalese locals told AajTak that they favoured the return of the king. A bystander was quoted as saying,“Rajtantra chahiye (We want monarchy). We want the former King to return and take care of the people.”

Also Read | 'We are the fire': Nepali student's fiery speech goes viral amid deadly protests How Sri Lanka and Bangladesh tackled their crisis

Sri Lanka experienced its worst-ever economic crisis in May 2022. On July 13, ousted President Gotabaya Rajapaksa fled the country and resigned officially on July 14, while in exile.

Then-PM Ranil Wickremesinghe was appointed as the acting president under the Sri Lankan Constitution. On July 20 2022, a special presidential election was held in the House. Wickremesinghe was the majority and was sworn in as the ninth President of Sri Lanka on July 21, 2022.

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Meanwhile, in Bangladesh, the first wave of student protests began on June 5, 2024, over a court's ruling on job quotas . Violence erupted around July 15–16, 2024. A curfew and internet blackout were imposed, and the army was also deployed.

Ousted Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina resigned on August 5. President Mohammed Shahabuddin, in consultation with military chiefs and student protest leaders, appointed Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus as the head of Bangladesh's interim government (officially termed Chief Adviser). On August 8, 2024, Yunus formally took the oath of office as Chief Adviser.

Also Read | Ranil Wickremesinghe sworn in as Sri Lankan prime minister Sri Lanka vs Bangladesh crisis: Recovery timeline and clues for Nepal

The normalcy in Sri Lanka and Bangladesh wasn't an overnight recovery. Short-term recovery was achieved in around one to two months. However, the long-term stability in Sri Lanka was attained by 2024 and in Bangladesh, the work is still on to bring economic and political stability.

The protests in both countries lasted for around a month. Here's a side-by-side comparison and recovery timeline of Sri Lanka and Bangladesh crisis, alongside the current turmoil in Nepal.

Country & Year Trigger of Crisis Peak Turmoil Government Response Recovery Timeline
Sri Lanka (2022–23) Economic crisis due to debt default, forex crisis, fuel/food shortages July 2022 Rajapaksa resigned → Wickremesinghe appointed; IMF bailout + Indian aid Short-term recovery in weeks, daily normalcy in ~1 year (mid-2023), fuller economic stability by late 2023–24
Bangladesh (2024) Student-led protests over job quota for descendants of freedom fighters July–Aug 2024 Nobel laureate Yunus appointed Chief Adviser of interim govt; military backed transition Streets calmed within weeks, caretaker govt formed in on to three days; total political stability depends on elections
Nepal (2025) Corruption, poor governance, social media ban September 2025 Caretaker setup under President; parties negotiating transition, but divisions remain Unclear - unrest ongoing; if consensus emerges, if deadlock persists, risk of prolonged instability
Insights for Nepal if it follows Sri Lanka or Bangladesh's path:

If Nepal follows Sri Lanka's path, one can expect 1–2 years before normalcy.

If Nepal mirrors Bangladesh's 2024 transition, stability could return faster (within months) if a broadly accepted caretaker/interim leadership emerges.

In worst case, prolonged deadlock (no consensus, no leadership) could keep Nepal unstable for a longer period.

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