EUR/USD Forecast 25/07: Struggles For Direction (Video)
- The Euro has gone back and forth during the trading session as the European Central Bank has decided to hold rates. Furthermore, there's been some statements about people who could assume that the ECB is now on hold. So, I think that takes some wind out of the sales of the Euro, but at the same time, the U.S. dollar has struggled mightily.
If we break down below the 1.15 level, then it's likely that we will see the euro really drop perhaps down to the 200 day EMA, which is sitting right around the 1.12 level. All things being equal, I think this is a pair that you need to watch very closely, mainly due to the fact that we look at this as basically a proxy for the U.S. dollar index and if the euro rises generally that's a bad sign for the US dollar against other currencies.
EURUSD Chart by TradingViewThere are outliers and there are moves that are specific to Europe but obviously as it's the largest component of the US dollar index pressing almost half at this point it does make a lot of sense that you pay attention to this even if you don't trade in the euro because it can give you an idea as to where the dollar might move against other currencies. As things stand right now, I can't tell if we're in the topping pattern yet, but we are starting to at least suggest that we are going to struggle.Ready to trade our daily Forex analysis ? We've made a list of the best forex demo accounts worth trading with.
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