Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Kuwait Strike Tests Fragile Gulf Ceasefire Arabian Post


(MENAFN- The Arabian Post) clearfix"> Several Americans were injured and two MQ-9 Reaper drones were badly damaged after an Iranian ballistic missile aimed at Kuwait's Ali Al Salem Air Base was intercepted by Kuwaiti air defences, sharpening doubts over a fragile US-Iran ceasefire as President Donald Trump weighs whether to extend the truce.

The Fateh-110 missile was brought down before reaching its target, but falling debris struck the air base, causing minor injuries to about five people, including active-duty personnel and contractors. One Reaper drone was destroyed and at least one other was seriously damaged, adding a material cost to an incident that has escalated military and diplomatic pressure across the Gulf.

Ali Al Salem, west of Kuwait City, hosts US and allied forces and has long served as a key logistics and air operations hub for missions across the region. The attack has increased concern that isolated exchanges could unravel the ceasefire, which was reached in early April after weeks of direct and indirect hostilities involving Iran, the United States, Israel and Gulf security partners.

US Central Command has described the attack as an egregious ceasefire violation, while Kuwait has condemned the missile launch as a breach of its sovereignty. Gulf states have rallied behind Kuwait, warning that strikes on its territory threaten wider regional security and risk pulling neighbouring countries deeper into confrontation.

The missile incident came after US forces intercepted five Iranian one-way attack drones near the Strait of Hormuz and carried out strikes on an Iranian drone facility near Bandar Abbas. American officials have framed those actions as defensive measures aimed at preserving the ceasefire rather than expanding the conflict, though Tehran has treated them as part of a continuing US pressure campaign.

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Trump is considering a proposal that would extend the ceasefire by 60 days, creating space for negotiations over Iran's nuclear programme, Gulf shipping security and sanctions relief. The plan under discussion is understood to include commitments on unrestricted passage through the Strait of Hormuz, limits on escalation, and steps toward a longer-term settlement. Major disputes remain over uranium enrichment, Iran's stockpile, frozen assets and the sequencing of sanctions relief.

The White House has kept pressure on Tehran while leaving open the possibility of a deal. Trump has said he wants a durable arrangement that prevents Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon and restores confidence in Gulf shipping lanes. His advisers are divided between those pressing for a rapid extension to prevent the conflict widening and those arguing that Iran should face a tougher response after the Kuwait strike.

The use of a Fateh-110 has raised particular concern among military planners. The solid-fuel, short-range ballistic missile has been used by Iran and aligned groups as a battlefield weapon capable of striking fixed military sites, energy infrastructure and command facilities. Its interception over Kuwait showed the continuing value of layered air defences, but the damage from debris also underlined the risk posed even when incoming missiles are stopped before impact.

The destruction of one MQ-9 Reaper and severe damage to another add to the operational consequences. Reapers are used for intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance and precision strike missions, giving US forces persistent visibility over maritime routes, missile launch areas and militia activity. Each aircraft costs roughly $30 million, excluding sensors and support systems, making the damage both a tactical setback and a financial loss.

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Kuwait has sought to avoid becoming a direct theatre in the confrontation, balancing its close defence relationship with Washington against its wider regional diplomacy. The strike places its government under pressure to strengthen air defence coordination while avoiding steps that could turn its territory into a more visible front line.

Oil markets have already reacted nervously to the cycle of missile launches, drone interceptions and uncertainty over the Strait of Hormuz, through which a large share of global seaborne crude and liquefied natural gas moves. Any sustained threat to shipping lanes could lift insurance costs, disrupt cargo scheduling and add fresh pressure to energy-importing economies.

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The Arabian Post

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