What The US-Iran Ceasefire Does And Doesn't Mean

2026-04-08 05:01:25

(MENAFN- Asia Times) The US and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, the details of which have not been confirmed by both sides, averting Trump's threat to destroy Iran.

The purported statement by Iran's Supreme National Security Council that CNN and others reported was dismissed as fake by Trump, who instead shared Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araghchi's cryptic X post on his Truth Social account.

Whatever the truth about the terms may be, US-Iranian talks will resume in Islamabad on Friday (April 10). Here are five preliminary thoughts:

1. Israel will follow US's lead

While Israel may have wanted the US to achieve their shared goals through military means, it will not brazenly impede the ceasefire's implementation and risk the US leaving it to fend for itself - hence its acceptance of the decision, which in turn facilitates Friday's planned talks.

If those negotiations stall, Israel might try to provoke Iran into resuming full-scale hostilities if it senses the US would join in, though it is unlikely to attempt this if talks appear to be going well.

2. Multisided security guarantees

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