(MENAFN- The Rio Times) Raízen, the sugar, ethanol and fuels group controlled by Cosan and Shell, is trying to convince investors it has time to fix its balance sheet before the bill for years of expansion fully comes due.

A blunt assessment from UBS BB sharpened the stakes: to look like its sturdier peers, Raízen may need roughly R$20–R$25 billion ($3.77–$4.72 billion) of fresh funding to bring leverage closer to 2.0–2.5 times net debt to EBITDA. The shares are down about 60% this year.

The company says it is not considering any kind of restructuring. In an October 10 notice, management highlighted near-term cushions: R$15.7 billion ($2.96 billion) in cash at the end of the first quarter of the 2025/26 crop year and R$5.5 billion ($1.04 billion) in committed revolving credit lines.

Seasonality also helps-Raízen typically borrows early in the harvest, then sells inventories to generate cash later. The numbers still loom large. Expanded net debt sat near R$56 billion ($10.57 billion), and leverage has hovered in the mid-4x range.

To ease that, management is pursuing asset sales and mulling equity solutions. A divestment package discussed in the market could raise up to R$15 billion ($2.83 billion), potentially including the Argentine fuel distribution unit.


Raízen Faces Debt Strain Amid Bioenergy Push
Meanwhile, controller Cosan announced up to R$10 billion ($1.89 billion) of new capital for itself-but emphasized it won't be used to support Raízen. The story behind the story is simple: Raízen bet big on bioenergy and logistics just as the era of cheap money faded.

Higher financing costs, a choppy sugar/ethanol cycle, and heavy working-capital needs have turned what looked like a smooth growth glide path into a leverage problem that needs more than seasonality to solve.

Why this matters beyond Brazil: Raízen is one of the world's largest biofuels players. If it executes credible asset sales and a capital plan, it can cut debt, lower interest costs, and keep investing in low-carbon fuels that matter for airlines, shippers and automakers worldwide.

If it falls short, the company could remain stuck in a high-debt loop-more cash to interest, less to the energy transition-leaving it exposed to commodity swings and tighter credit conditions.

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