
AI Disinformation & Security Threats From Africa & Middle East 2025-2026: Analysis Of 189 Documented Campaigns Across 39 African Countries And 15 Middle Eastern Nations
Dublin, Oct. 10, 2025 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The "AI Disinformation & Security in Africa & Middle East Zone 2026" report has been added to ResearchAndMarkets's offering.
This comprehensive 412-page intelligence report provides a detailed assessment of artificial intelligence-powered disinformation threats across Africa and the Middle East through 2026. Drawing on analysis of 189 documented campaigns across 39 African countries and 15 Middle Eastern nations, the report identifies critical vulnerabilities, emerging threat vectors, and strategic implications for regional security, democratic governance, economic stability, and social cohesion.
The assessment reveals a 400-600% projected increase in AI disinformation campaigns by 2026, with sophisticated operations targeting electoral processes, sectarian divisions, resource competition, and regional conflicts. The report documents the emergence of state-sponsored AI disinformation infrastructure, Disinformation-as-a-Service (DaaS) providers, and increasingly autonomous synthetic content generation capabilities that fundamentally challenge information integrity across the region.
The report includes detailed country case studies for Egypt, Nigeria, Saudi Arabia, Kenya, South Africa, Ethiopia, UAE, Morocco, Tunisia, and Qatar, examining their unique vulnerability factors and strategic targeting intelligence report draws on technical analysis of 89 distinct AI systems, documentation of 189 disinformation campaigns, interviews with 127 regional experts, comparative analysis of regulatory frameworks, and predictive modeling of capability evolution and strategic implications through 2026.
Key findings include:
- Scale & Sophistication: Documented AI disinformation campaigns have increased 350-500% since 2023, with projections of 400-600% growth by Q4 2026. Regional Vulnerability Patterns: Digital transformation dynamics create distinctive vulnerability patterns across the region. State Actor Dominance: Russia, China, UAE, and Saudi Arabia have emerged as primary architects of sophisticated AI disinformation infrastructure. Electoral Targeting: 17 upcoming elections identified as high-priority targets for interference campaigns. Resource Competition Focus: 42% of documented campaigns center on natural resource narratives. Sectarian Division Exploitation: AI-generated content increasingly targets religious and ethnic divisions with unprecedented precision. Detection Challenges: The gap between generation and detection capabilities is widening.
Countries analyzed in the report:
- Algeria Angola Bahrain Benin Botswana Burkina Faso Burundi Cameroon Cape Verde Central African Republic Chad Comoros Congo Djibouti Egypt Equatorial Guinea Eritrea Ethiopia Gabon Gambia Ghana Guinea Guinea-Bissau Iran Iraq Israel Ivory Coast Jordan Kenya Kuwait Lebanon Lesotho Liberia Libya Madagascar Malawi Mali Mauritania Mauritius Morocco Mozambique Namibia Niger Nigeria Oman Palestine Qatar Rwanda Saudi Arabia Senegal Seychelles Sierra Leone Somalia South Africa South Sudan Sudan Swaziland Syria Tanzania Togo Tunisia Uganda United Arab Emirates Yemen Zambia Zimbabwe
Key Topics Covered:
Chapter 1: Executive Overview
- Current landscape assessment DaaS market analysis Threat actor ecosystem mapping 2026-2030 projection framework Strategic implications for regional security
Chapter 2: Critical Risk Alerts
- Exponential growth in AI disinformation campaigns Market manipulation through synthetic information Youth radicalization via AI-powered echo chambers Corporate unpreparedness for synthetic threats AI + Quantum convergence threats
Chapter 3: Ecosystem Mapping
- Actor network analysis Capability flow patterns Infrastructure assessment Target prioritization patterns Ecosystem adaptation mechanisms
Chapter 4: Technologies
- Generative AI deepfakes LLM-powered propaganda in 40+ African languages Bot armies with 10,000+ coordinated accounts AI + Quantum convergence threats Real-time content generation capabilities
Chapter 5: Troll to AI Farms
- Evolution from human to AI-powered operations Hybrid human-machine operations Fully autonomous systems Attribution challenges Operational cost structures
Chapter 6: Why Africa & Middle East Are Targets
- Fragile democratic institutions Energy market significance Sectarian and ethnic division opportunities Youth population vulnerability Limited detection infrastructure
Appendix E: Country Case Studies
- Egypt: Information control during economic transition Nigeria: Electoral integrity under AI disinformation pressure Saudi Arabia: Strategic narrative management in Vision 2030 context Kenya: Youth mobilization and digital tribalism South Africa: Economic narrative manipulation Ethiopia: Conflict amplification dynamics UAE: Financial market targeting Morocco: Territorial dispute narratives Tunisia: Democratic transition pressures Qatar: Regional influence competition
Companies Featured
- OpenAI Anthropic Google DeepMind Meta AI Microsoft NVIDIA Stability AI Midjourney Huawei Baidu Tencent SenseTime Yandex Kaspersky Group-IB Darktrace CrowdStrike FireEye Recorded Future Graphika
For more information about this report visit
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