Dubai's Prime Homes Keep Beating Global Capital Trend

Dubai's top-tier residential sector continues to outperform the global market, with capital values climbing over 5 per cent in the first half of 2025 and rental returns holding firm.

Dubai's prime residential property market emerged as one of the strongest worldwide, ranking third behind Tokyo and Berlin in capital value growth during the first six months of 2025. Prime capital values rose by over 5 per cent, substantially ahead of the 0.7 per cent average recorded across 30 global cities. This momentum reflects robust investor confidence, sustained immigration and constrained luxury supply. Savills projects further gains of between 4 and 5.9 per cent in the second half of the year, underscoring the city's enduring appeal for global investors.

Rental markets in the emirate also remain buoyant. Prime rental rates rose by 2.9 per cent over the past six months and have surged by 13.3 per cent year-on-year to June 2025. High renewal rates and continued demand from high-net-worth individuals and long-term residents have contributed to sustained rental resilience.

Across Savills' global index of prime markets, Tokyo led with an 8.8 per cent increase in capital values, driven by acute scarcity of stock and strong demand from both domestic and international buyers. Dubai, Berlin and Seoul each recorded gains exceeding 5 per cent, with supply constraints emerging as a key driver across these markets.

Savills' analysis highlights a shift in global dynamics: prime rental growth across these cities reached 2 per cent on average, outpacing capital appreciation. Just over half of the markets monitored logged positive capital growth in the period, and declines in others were largely modest.

In Dubai, the combination of sustained immigration flows, investor-friendly policies and limited high-end housing supply continues to buttress market strength. A mature mortgage environment-with 15–30-year loan options and competitive deposit requirements, including 15 per cent for citizens and 20 per cent for expatriates-offers further support to both local and foreign investors, with financing often used strategically to manage capital and liquidity.

The emirate's global connectivity, ever-expanding infrastructure developments and relatively low transaction costs further reinforce its position as a global real estate powerhouse.

Although the pace of rental inflation across general residential segments has slowed-with broader market indices showing deceleration from 14.3 per cent in January to 8.5 per cent in May-prime residential rentals remain robust and significantly outpace broader averages.

While anecdotal evidence and other data point to a record-breaking bull run in Dubai's real estate sector-with average property prices rising by some 75 per cent since early 2021 and transactions approaching pre-2008 levels-these trends can come with cautionary signals regarding sustainability over the medium term.

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