Gold Forecast 20/08: Market Awaits Powell (Chart)

(MENAFN- Daily Forex)

• The trading session on Tuesday saw the gold market be relatively quiet, as we are obviously waiting for something.
• There are a handful of different things that we could be waiting for at the moment, but the first few things that come to mind are big enough that could keep the market somewhat flat.
• The market has been flat for several days in row right now, and I think part of this could have something to do with questions about the Federal Reserve.

During the trading session on Friday, we will have a speech from Jerome Powell via the Jackson Hole Symposium, and traders will be looking for any signs of dovish behavior from here. The Fed Funds Futures market has already been priced in by roughly 90% that the Federal Reserve is in fact going to cut interest rates in September, but what people will be focused on will be his tone. Furthermore, we also have a lot of questions asked about volume right now because quite frankly this is basically the time your most people go on vacation. If that's the case, then markets can be fairly quiet, just as the NASDAQ 100 has quieted down over the last several sessions, as well as the currency markets, etc.

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This is still a very bullish market, and I would point out that each successive low is higher than the one before it, so I do think it makes a certain amount of sense that the market would be looking at this as a“buy on the dip market. The 50 Day EMA sits just below the current pricing and has offered support yet again. Furthermore, the market has been watching the 50 Day EMA as a bit of a trend line. In other words, I think there are a lot of buyers out there willing to get involved, but I also recognize that the upside is somewhat limited, with the $3500 level being a massive barrier that might be a bit difficult to overcome. If and when we do, then I think you will get a bit of a“FOMO trading” that could lead to a move to $3800.

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If we were to break down from here, the $3300 level offer support, right along with the $3200 level. It's not until we break down below the $3200 level that I would be worried about the trend. As things stand right now, despite the fact that we are quiet, I am still very bullish.

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