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Chile Stocks Fall 1.1%, Give Back Bounce - Rio Times


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Chile Live Market Board

Live market data
May 20, 06:02

IPSA 10,351 -1.12%

USD/CLP 906.50 +0.68%

COPPER 6.23 +0.99%

SQM-B 73,190 -1.89%

Instrument Last Change YoY Prev. High Low Volume
IPSA 10,351 -1.12% - 10,468 - - -
USD/CLP 906.50 +0.68% -3.62% 900.40 906.50 906.40 -
COPPER 6.23 +0.99% +34.78% 6.16 6.24 6.15 7,904
SQM-B 73,190 -1.89% +125.96% 74,600 74,294 71,990 335,646
COPEC 6,400 -0.78% -7.13% 6,450 6,567 6,380 338,038
BSANTANDER 68.25 -1.33% +15.25% 69.17 70.00 68.25 196,914,212
FALABELLA 5,445 -3.63% +11.58% 5,650 5,625 5,402 3,637,472
ENELAM 76.00 +0.00% -21.65% 76.00 76.06 74.70 13,228,143
CENCOSUD 2,072 -1.64% -35.27% 2,106 2,176 2,072 2,158,183
CMPC 1,065 +0.38% -30.46% 1,061 1,078 1,060 2,262,264
BANCO CHILE 166.50 +0.91% +14.04% 165.00 167.96 164.01 168,014,367
LATAM AIR 21.05 -1.41% +24.56% 21.35 21.37 20.90 1,217,468,318
SOUTHERN COPPER 169.00 -1.69% +91.08% 171.90 171.85 165.23 988,889

Largest live moves in this report universe

FALABELLA
5,445
-3.63% SQM-B
73,190
-1.89% SOUTHERN COPPER
169.00
-1.69% CENCOSUD
2,072
-1.64% LATAM AIR
21.05
-1.41% BSANTANDER
68.25
-1.33% IPSA
10,351
-1.12% COPPER
6.23
+0.99%

Live cross-market prices, session ranges and volume update through the day, giving each report a richer read on the instruments that matter most for the session.

Wednesday, May 20, 2026 · Covering Tuesday May 19 session Summary

IPSA Chile today reflects Tuesday's 1.12% drop to 10,350.86, giving back Monday's GDP-miss bounce and then some. The index opened at Monday's close, sold off all day, and closed near the low toward the cloud floor at 10,277. The Q1 contraction digestion is now a two-day affair.

The Big Three 1.
IPSA closed Tuesday at 10,350.86 (−1.12%, −116.92 pts), erasing Monday's +0.45% GDP-miss bounce and more. The index opened at Monday's close (10,467.78) and sold off all session to a 10,321 low. Monday's clean absorption of the Q1 contraction did not hold - digestion extended into a second day. 2.
The Q1 2026 GDP at −0.5% YoY - outside every forecast range - is weighing with a lag (mining −3.1%, fishing −18.6%, agriculture −5.4%). The miss strengthens the June BCCh cut case toward 4.25%, but with copper testing the $4.50/lb anchor and global risk-off hitting LatAm, the tape stayed defensive. 3.
RSI fast 36.39, slow 42.73 - back near oversold. MACD histogram −61.94 (Monday −51.95), widening. The close sits 74 points above the cloud bottom at 10,277; the 200-DMA at 10,075 is the 2.7% structural floor. A break of the cloud bottom invalidates the Kast post-election uptrend. June BCCh is the next macro pivot. IPSA Close 10,350.86 −1.12% Cloud Floor 10,277 74 pts below BCCh Rate 4.50% June cut path open RSI Fast 36.39 Near oversold 02 Session Data
Metric Value Change Context
IPSA close 10,350.86 −1.12% Erased Monday bounce
Intraday range 10,321 – 10,468 147 pts Open at high, close at low
Cloud floor 10,277.19 −0.7% Now the immediate line
RSI fast / slow 36.39 / 42.73 Near oversold From Monday 39.45
MACD histogram −61.94 Widened From Monday −51.95
200-DMA 10,075.35 2.7% below Kast uptrend floor
Copper ~$4.50/lb Tested Peso anchor pressured
Source: BCS, BCCh, INE, Cochilco, TradingView. Snapshot: May 20, 2026 06:32 UTC. 03 Why It Fell Back Local Driver: GDP-miss digestion extends to day two

Monday's clean absorption of the −0.5% Q1 contraction did not hold. Tuesday gave the bounce back and more as the detail behind the headline sank in with a lag. The offsetting positive - a stronger June cut case toward 4.25% - is a June event.

External Trigger: LatAm risk-off and copper at the anchor

Tuesday was a broad LatAm risk-off day: Brazil fell 1.52%, Argentina −1.47%. Chile fell with the group, and copper testing the $4.50/lb anchor removed part of the peso cushion that absorbed Friday's Warsh shock and Monday's miss. Without the copper buffer, the IPSA had less protection against the tape.

§04 · Market Commentary

Monday's absorption looked clean, but it was a one-day reprieve. A −0.5% Q1 print outside every forecast range takes more than a session to digest. Tuesday's give-back reflects that lag plus a LatAm risk-off. The constructive read: the rate-cut tailwind is still building - but relief is a June story, and the tape needs a catalyst.

Technically the picture deteriorated. RSI fell back toward oversold at 36.39, the MACD histogram widened to −61.94, and the close sits 74 points above the cloud bottom at 10,277. That floor is the line: a close below it breaks the Kast uptrend and opens the 200-DMA at 10,075. The copper anchor and 14% consensus EPS growth remain the structural case, but the near-term path depends on the floor holding.

05 Technical Snapshot

S&P IPSA daily, BCS. TradingView · May 20, 2026 06:32 UTC

IPSA closed at 10,350.86 after opening at Monday's close and selling off to a 10,321 low. The cloud bottom at 10,277 sits 74 points below; the 200-DMA at 10,075 is the 2.7% floor. The Kijun at 10,566, 20-DMA at 10,678 and 50-DMA at 10,739 are now overhead. MACD histogram −61.94 widened from Monday's −51.95. RSI fast 36.39, slow 42.73 - near oversold.

Resistance: 10,566 (Kijun) → 10,678 (20-DMA) → 10,739 (50-DMA) Support: 10,321 (Tuesday low) → 10,277 (cloud floor) → 10,075 (200-DMA) Invalidation: A daily close below 10,277 breaks the cloud and opens the 200-DMA at 10,075. 06 Forward Look This week · Cloud floor 10,277 A close below 10,277 breaks the Kast uptrend and opens the 200-DMA at 10,075. A hold lets oversold RSI mean-revert toward the Kijun. This week · Copper $4.50/lb Copper below $4.50 removes the peso cushion and exposes the IPSA to the growth repricing. Above $4.70 restores the buffer. June 1 · May Imacec First post-Q1 print. Another negative confirms Q2 deterioration; a positive unlocks the Kijun at 10,566. June · BCCh meeting The Q1 miss strengthens the cut case to 4.25%. Iran-Hormuz fuel pass-through is the obstacle. 07 Questions & Answers Why did the IPSA give back Monday's bounce? GDP-miss digestion plus LatAm risk-off. Monday's absorption of the −0.5% Q1 contraction was a one-day reprieve; a number that bad takes more than a session to digest. Tuesday gave the bounce back amid a regional selloff, with copper testing the $4.50/lb anchor removing part of the peso cushion. Does the GDP miss still help the rate-cut case? Yes - but that is a June story. The Q1 contraction strengthens the case for a June BCCh cut to 4.25%, constructive medium-term. The problem is timing: relief arrives in June while the tape needs a catalyst now. The Iran-Hormuz fuel pass-through is the remaining obstacle. Until June, the IPSA trades the growth weakness, not the easing. Where is the line for the Kast uptrend? The cloud bottom at 10,277, 74 points below Tuesday's close. A close below it breaks the post-election uptrend and opens the 200-DMA at 10,075. RSI 36 near oversold gives the floor credibility for a bounce, but the MACD widening warns the correction may not be exhausted. Copper holding $4.50/lb is external support. Verdict

Tuesday's 1.12% drop gave back Monday's GDP-miss bounce and more - the clean absorption was a one-day reprieve. A LatAm risk-off (Brazil −1.52%, Argentina −1.47%) and copper testing $4.50/lb removed the peso cushion. RSI 36 near oversold, MACD widening. The cloud floor at 10,277 is the line: a close below breaks the Kast uptrend toward the 200-DMA at 10,075. The June cut case strengthens, but that is a June catalyst.

Related: Monday's GDP-miss bounce · Brazil election scandal · Argentina post-spike pullback.

Pivot today: cloud floor 10,277. Hold = RSI mean-revert; break = 200-DMA at 10,075 in play.

Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Markets carry risk; consult a licensed professional before trading.

Read More from The Rio Times

    Latin American Pulse for Wednesday, May 20, 2026 Chile's Economy Shrinks in Q1, Threatening Kast's Growth Plan Chile Doubles Bank Capital Buffer as Iran War Threatens Global Markets
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The Rio Times

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