Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

What Ceasefire Solution Investorideas


(MENAFN- Investor Ideas) (Investorideas Newswire)

S&P 500 held up well into the opening bell considering two main events of the day – Kevin Warsh hearing and two-week ceasefire expiration with all bellicose statements returning so as to force Iran's hand. That didn't happen, and the Iranians chose not to negotiate when Trump's blockade remains in place. Also what their political representation left flying Friday (soothing market-oriented talk as if a breakthrough was reached, while that didn't happen), gave way to a more typically enforced Hormuz blockade coupled with showing preparation to return to war.

I would have thought that at least some predictable elements of Warsh hearing (independence etc.) would be factored in before they happened, but it took shape of additionally introduced uncertainty, sending markets risk-off way. To crown (the intraday deterioration), on failure of the second round of negotiations to even happen, we were treated to Trump's unilateral ceasefire extension serving to return the markets to risk-on within minutes... neither war, nor peace, the showdown goes on as the dollar kept half of its risk-off gains on the day.

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All essays, research and information represent analyses and opinions of Monica Kingsley that are based on available and latest data. Despite careful research and best efforts, it may prove wrong and be subject to change with or without notice. Monica Kingsley does not guarantee the accuracy or thoroughness of the data or information reported. Her content serves educational purposes and should not be relied upon as advice or construed as providing recommendations of any kind. Futures, stocks and options are financial instruments not suitable for every investor. Please be advised that you invest at your own risk. Monica Kingsley is not a Registered Securities Advisor. By reading her writings, you agree that she will not be held responsible or liable for any decisions you make. Investing, trading and speculating in financial markets may involve high risk of loss. Monica Kingsley may have a short or long position in any securities, including those mentioned in her writings, and may make additional purchases and/or sales of those securities without notice.

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