Bolivia Reserves Drop To $52 Million After Record Debt Pay

(MENAFN- The Rio Times) Key Points

- Bolivia paid over $500 million in external debt in March - the largest single-month payment in the country's history - draining available foreign currency reserves from $400 million to just $52 million

- Total international reserves stand at $4.26 billion on paper, but 88.8% is gold and only 9.5% - roughly $403 million before the payment - was in usable foreign currency

- The government claims credit agencies have upgraded Bolivia's outlook, but the $52 million in remaining liquid reserves raises serious questions about the country's capacity to manage further obligations

Bolivia reserves fell to a critically low $52 million in usable foreign currency after the government made the largest external debt payment in the country's history - over $500 million in a single month. The Rio Times, the Latin American financial news outlet, reports that Economy Minister Gabriel Espinoza presented the payment as proof of fiscal discipline, but the near-total depletion of liquid reserves tells a different story about one of South America's most financially strained economies.

According to Central Bank data, available foreign currency dropped from over $400 million in February to $52 million by March 20. Total international reserves stood at $4.26 billion as of March 13, but the composition reveals the fragility: 88.8 percent ($3.78 billion) is held in gold, which cannot be spent as easily as cash, and only 9.5 percent was in liquid foreign currency.

The Government's Case on Bolivia Reserves

Espinoza defended the payment as a necessary step to preserve Bolivia's financial credibility. "It is the largest external debt payment Bolivia has ever faced, and we did it by putting our house in order," he said, adding that the government used its own resources without taking on new borrowing. He also claimed that credit rating agencies responded positively to the effort.

Beyond the single payment, the government said it reduced sovereign bond-related debt by more than $800 million in the same period - a broader liability management strategy that Espinoza called well-received by international investors. "Today Bolivia delivers, organizes, and stabilizes," he said, promising that reserve accumulation would continue "with greater vigor."

The Credibility Gap

Critics see the numbers differently. A country with $52 million in liquid foreign currency - roughly the cost of two commercial aircraft - has virtually no buffer against external shocks. Bolivia has been struggling with a chronic dollar shortage for more than two years, with parallel exchange rates diverging sharply from the official peg and fuel imports disrupted by the inability to pay suppliers in hard currency.

Espinoza acknowledged that the government inherited liquidity of roughly $60 million - suggesting the reserve situation was already critical before the debt payment - and dismissed critical analysis as "incomplete and irresponsible." But the arithmetic is stark: Bolivia paid ten times its remaining liquid reserves in a single month, betting that the credibility gained from honoring the debt outweighs the vulnerability created by emptying the treasury.

What This Means for the Region

Bolivia's situation stands in contrast to neighbors like Peru, which despite its own fiscal pressures holds reserves covering months of imports, and Costa Rica, where the central bank is buying dollars to prevent its currency from strengthening too much. For a country expected to become a full Mercosur member by 2028, the near-zero liquid reserve position raises fundamental questions about whether Bolivia can sustain its fixed exchange rate, maintain fuel and food imports, and service future debt obligations without an international rescue package.

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