Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

U.S. Jobs Data Looms as Global Tensions, AI Concerns Mount


(MENAFN) Global financial markets face mounting turbulence as investors brace for critical US employment figures amid escalating geopolitical flashpoints and Federal Reserve policy uncertainty that continues shaping trading sentiment.

Multiple converging threats have eroded market stability. US-Iran military tensions remain volatile following reports that American forces downed an Iranian unmanned aircraft, while Tehran purportedly seized a US-flagged oil tanker navigating the Strait of Hormuz.

Domestic political upheaval recently subsided after US President Donald Trump signed legislation ending a four-day partial federal shutdown, restoring complete government operations following House approval of the budget framework.

The partial closure postponed Tuesday's non-farm payrolls release, redirecting market focus toward Wednesday's ADP private employment report—data analysts view as crucial for forecasting the Fed's upcoming monetary decisions. Money markets currently project the central bank will maintain current rates through June.

Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin said last year's rate cuts supported the labor market and added that the Fed's next goal should be to bring inflation back to its target level.

Trump's Fed Chair nominee Kevin Warsh, who served on the Fed Board of Governors from 2006 to 2011 and participated in 2008 financial crisis negotiations, does not view interest rates as the sole policy tool.

The Treasury Department plans to unveil its quarterly borrowing strategy Wednesday.

US 10-year Treasury yields settled at 4.27% following these developments. Precious metals rebounded from steep losses, with gold reclaiming the $5,000-per-ounce threshold Wednesday, currently trading at $5,074 (up 2.6%) while silver climbed 3.4% to $87.8 per ounce.

The US Dollar Index slipped 0.2% Tuesday to 97.4, extending declines Wednesday by 0.1% to 97.3. Market strategists attribute the dollar's modest weakness and geopolitical anxieties to precious metals' partial recovery.

Brent crude simultaneously dropped 0.5% to $67.7 per barrel.

The New York Stock Exchange plunged amid artificial intelligence disruption fears.

Corporate valuations face pressure after Anthropic, creator of the Claude chatbot, unveiled advanced AI capabilities handling legal work, financial modeling, and sales operations—developments analysts warn could reshape profitability projections across software and technology sectors.

Investor exodus accelerated sharply: Salesforce plummeted 6.8%, Adobe 7.3%, Synopsys 8.5%, and Intuit 10.9%.

Semiconductor manufacturers suffered parallel declines—Nvidia shed 2.8%, Broadcom 3.3%, and Micron Technologies 4.2%.

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