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Colombia Starts 2026 With A Choppy Peso And A Steady Stock Tape
(MENAFN- The Rio Times) Key Points
USD/COP was last indicated around 3,772.7 at 08:12 UTC, while the TRM for January 5 was 3,790.77. On Friday, January 2-the first 2026 session-the peso opened at 3,772.50, touched 3,827.00, fell to 3,759.00, and closed at 3,774.51, averaging 3,791.38.
Turnover was $529.96 million across 525 trades. A week earlier it closed at 3,716.05, up ~2%. JP Tactical Trading said the rate stabilized near 3,780 after an early burst. DXY hovered near 98.
Weekend Venezuela headlines added noise. One strategist summed it up:“Geopolitical risks are much larger than some number cast on imports.”
Charts point to a bounce, not a reversal. On 4-hour candles, resistance sits at 3,779–3,792 and support at 3,769, 3,761, and 3,748–3,746; RSI mid-50s, MACD positive.
On the daily chart, RSI is just under 50 and MACD remains negative, with overhead at 3,789–3,820 and 3,879, and support at 3,751–3,749 and 3,698.
Domestic policy is the premium. The monthly minimum wage is now 1.75 million pesos. Bond sentiment remains sensitive after a direct 23-trillion-peso TES sale to a foreign investor in December.
On January 2, TES 2026 closed at 9.251%, 2028 at 12.381%, 2033 at 13.000%, and 2050 at 12.615%. The MSCI COLCAP ended January 2 at 2,069.02 (+0.05% day; -0.60% week).
Gainers: Ecopetrol (+2.67% to 1,920; 18.16 million shares), Promigas (+2.05%), Grupo Argos (+1.41%), Grupo Argos preferred (+1.25%), Suramericana (+0.93%).
Losers: Grupo Cibest (-2.46%), Banco de Bogotá (-2.16%), Terpel (-1.50%), Aval preferred (-1.17%), Mineros (-0.78%).
ETF signals were small: GXG logged $3.83 million of one-month net inflows and roughly -$0.02 million over five days, while COLO listed net assets near $113.84 million.
Traders also pointed to December 30 turnover of COP 349.365 billion, led by Grupo Éxito (COP 153.372 billion) and Terpel (COP 122.231 billion), including a 27.53-million-share Éxito block (COP 120.879 billion) at COP 4,390; chatter tied it to a Chilean family office shift.
USD/COP ranged 3,827–3,759 in the first 2026 session, then closed 3,774.51 in thin trade.
COLCAP ended at 2,069.02, with Ecopetrol up 2.67% and Banco de Bogotá down 2.16%.
Minimum-wage risk and debt optics remain the key local premium as the dollar steadies.
USD/COP was last indicated around 3,772.7 at 08:12 UTC, while the TRM for January 5 was 3,790.77. On Friday, January 2-the first 2026 session-the peso opened at 3,772.50, touched 3,827.00, fell to 3,759.00, and closed at 3,774.51, averaging 3,791.38.
Turnover was $529.96 million across 525 trades. A week earlier it closed at 3,716.05, up ~2%. JP Tactical Trading said the rate stabilized near 3,780 after an early burst. DXY hovered near 98.
Weekend Venezuela headlines added noise. One strategist summed it up:“Geopolitical risks are much larger than some number cast on imports.”
Charts point to a bounce, not a reversal. On 4-hour candles, resistance sits at 3,779–3,792 and support at 3,769, 3,761, and 3,748–3,746; RSI mid-50s, MACD positive.
On the daily chart, RSI is just under 50 and MACD remains negative, with overhead at 3,789–3,820 and 3,879, and support at 3,751–3,749 and 3,698.
Domestic policy is the premium. The monthly minimum wage is now 1.75 million pesos. Bond sentiment remains sensitive after a direct 23-trillion-peso TES sale to a foreign investor in December.
On January 2, TES 2026 closed at 9.251%, 2028 at 12.381%, 2033 at 13.000%, and 2050 at 12.615%. The MSCI COLCAP ended January 2 at 2,069.02 (+0.05% day; -0.60% week).
Gainers: Ecopetrol (+2.67% to 1,920; 18.16 million shares), Promigas (+2.05%), Grupo Argos (+1.41%), Grupo Argos preferred (+1.25%), Suramericana (+0.93%).
Losers: Grupo Cibest (-2.46%), Banco de Bogotá (-2.16%), Terpel (-1.50%), Aval preferred (-1.17%), Mineros (-0.78%).
ETF signals were small: GXG logged $3.83 million of one-month net inflows and roughly -$0.02 million over five days, while COLO listed net assets near $113.84 million.
Traders also pointed to December 30 turnover of COP 349.365 billion, led by Grupo Éxito (COP 153.372 billion) and Terpel (COP 122.231 billion), including a 27.53-million-share Éxito block (COP 120.879 billion) at COP 4,390; chatter tied it to a Chilean family office shift.
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