USD/ZAR Analysis 29/09: Quality Lower Realms (Chart)

(MENAFN- Daily Forex) The USD/ZAR is near the 17.25500 vicinity as of this morning, the currency pair continues to trade within a lower realm, but speculators need to be aware that potential storms lurk for Forex.

The USD/ZAR continues to occupy the lower realms of its long-term price range. As of this morning the currency pair is near the 17.25500 vicinity with a typically fast wide spread being displayed for day traders thinking about pursuing. The USD/ZAR is within values not seen since the first week of November in 2024, and the last time lower depths were seen in a sustained manner were in October of 2024.

The USD/ZAR is correlating to the broad Forex market well, except for the fact that major pairs like the EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY did see the USD become stronger in recent trading. Yes, the USD/ZAR can make a claim to this consideration too, the currency pair did touch 17.48000 and above briefly on Friday, but then a curious thing happened. The South African Rand got stronger going into the weekend, while the 'big boy' currencies EUR, GBP and JPY did not against the USD Coming and Correlation Concerns

The ability of the USD/ZAR to hold onto the lower realms of its value technically early this morning should be intriguing for day traders. Has the South African Rand suddenly become a cornerstone in Forex and a barometer of things to come regarding USD centric price action? Simply put, no. So the lower prices in the USD/ZAR are rather suspicious and may give rise to the notion that some upside could develop.

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Speculators need to also be aware that although U.S jobs numbers are going to be released this coming Friday, the real concern in the broad financial markets is the potential that a U.S government shutdown is going to occur. The possible shutdown appears to be a political tactic that the Democrats want to use against the Trump White House. The shutdown could happen the middle of this week. Financial institutions will certainly react before the shutdown if they believe it is going to happen, Forex would likely to get hit because of the political storm/ZAR Speculation and Near-Term Outlook

There is a potential for the rather solid results to lower depths made by the USD/ZAR via its bearish trend since the 4th of September to face a test of nervous sentiment.

• The USD/ZAR looks low and speculators who believe more downside is possible should not get overly ambitious because of the storm clouds building.
• Day traders who want to bet on a reversal higher occurring cannot be faulted, but they will also need noise to start filtering into the markets via U.S political rhetoric about a shutdown in the government.
• If the U.S government does shutdown financial institutions may seek safe havens until clarity is delivered again.

EURUSD Chart by TradingViewUSD/ZAR Short Term Outlook:

Current Resistance: 17.26700

Current Support: 17.25100

High Target: 17.37100

Low Target: 17.22800

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