If Donald Trump Gets His Disaster Capitalism Way In Gaza

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For Washington, it serves as a counterweight to China's Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) while binding India into a US-led system. Europe views it as a hedge against the Suez Canal and Russian pipelines.

The Gulf monarchies see a chance to position themselves as the region's main centre for trade and transport. Israel promotes Haifa as a gateway for Euro-Asian trade. India, meanwhile, gains quicker access to Europe while tightening its ties with both Washington and the Gulf.

Gaza as obstacle and gateway

The plan casts Gaza both as an Iranian outpost undermining Imec and as a historic crossroads of trade routes linking Egypt, Arabia, India and Europe.

By invoking Gaza's history as a trading route, the plan presents the territory as a natural logistics gateway poised to“thrive once again” at the center of a“pro-American regional order.”

The blueprint proposes extending Gaza's port from Egypt's al-Arish, integrating its industries into regional supply chains, and reorganising its land into“planned cities” and digital economies.

Imec and its connections. European Council on Foreign Relations , CC BY-NC-SA

What is being imagined is not recovery for its residents, but the conversion of Gaza into a logistics center serving Imec.

Perhaps the most radical element of the Great Trust is its model of direct trusteeship. The plan envisions a US-led custodianship, beginning with a bilateral US–Israel agreement and eventually expanding into a multilateral trust.

This body would govern Gaza, oversee security, manage aid and control redevelopment. After a“Palestinian polity” is established, the trust would still retain powers through a Compact of Free Association.

Even the most ill-fated US occupation plans in Iraq and Afghanistan did not so openly imagine territory as a corporatised trusteeship for global capital.

'Voluntary' relocation

Another striking feature of the plan is its provision for“voluntary relocation.” Palestinians who leave their homes in Gaza would receive relocation packages, rent subsidies and food stipends. The document assumes a quarter of the population will depart permanently, with financial models showing how the scheme becomes more profitable the more people leave.

In reality, the notion of voluntary departure under siege and famine is not voluntary at all. Israel's blockade has produced what UN officials describe as engineered mass starvation . To frame out-migration as a choice is to sanction ethnic cleansing.

The plan also shows how the language of the Abraham Accords has been grafted onto Gaza's imagined future. Nearly every element is dressed in“Abrahamic” branding: an Abraham gateway logistics hub in Rafah, an Abrahamic infrastructure corridor of railways, even new highways renamed after Saudi and Emirati leaders.

Techno-futurist gloss is added through smart manufacturing zones, AI-regulated data centres, luxury resorts and new digital-ID cities, planned“smart cities” where daily life, from housing and healthcare to commerce and employment, would be mediated through ID-based digital systems.

Saudi Arabia and the fig leaf of Palestinian statehood

A central ambition of the Great Trust is to channel Gulf capital into Gaza's redevelopment under its trusteeship. The plan forecasts US$70–100 billion in public investment and another $35–65 billion from private investors, with public–private partnerships financing ports, rail, hospitals and data centers.