Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Brazilian Equities Retreat On Profit-Taking As Select Stocks Defy The Trend


(MENAFN- The Rio Times) Brazil's Ibovespa fell to 141,791 points on September 9, registering a 0.59% daily loss alongside subdued trading volumes of R$16.7 billion.

The retreat followed recent record highs and resulted mainly from widespread profit-taking, particularly in major banks and consumer-focused companies.

The lingering uncertainty over judicial proceedings involving a former president and the anticipated inflation data release have reinforced market caution. External factors contributed to the day's mood.

Recent US trade barriers on Brazilian exports kept trade risk in focus while signals from the US bond and equity markets, including a small advance in Wall Street indices and declining Treasury yields, provided mixed cues.

In the local market, economists maintained their inflation outlook for 2025 at 4.85%, while reducing GDP growth expectations to 2.16%. Within this context, a handful of equities bucked the trend.



Raízen led the gains among index constituents, advancing 5.47% on renewed speculation about recapitalization. GPA , Cosan, Braskem, and Usiminas also closed higher, reflecting company-specific dynamics and news-driven interest.

In a striking move outside the main index, airlines Azul and Gol surged over 15% as large international desks drove a rare volume spike, leading to price volatility controls on B3 .

Losers crowded the consumer and retail space. CVC Brasil, Magazine Luiza, BRF, Assaí, and Vamos registered the sharpest losses, as investors locked in earlier gains and responded to headwinds from domestic demand concerns.

Technical analysis of the daily Ibovespa chart portrays a delicate inflection point. The index holds above short-term moving averages, but wavering momentum-signaled by a softening MACD and a high RSI (63)-illustrates growing risk of consolidation or minor correction.

Bollinger Bands contain price near the upper boundary, highlighting volatility and the potential for a pullback toward mean levels. The Global Liquidity Index line has begun to descend, indicating tighter global liquidity conditions.

The four-hour chart offers additional caution, with both RSI and MACD rolling over, and price action stalling just above key support levels. Volume trends do not confirm a decisive new direction, reinforcing the short-term indecision.

Overall, traders remain alert for cues from politics, macro data, and sector flows, as tactical positioning replaces the one-way optimism of recent weeks.
Top 5 Winners:
Raízen (+5.47%), GPA (+2.56%), Cosan (+2.33%), Braskem (+2.23%), Usiminas (+1.77%).
Top 5 Losers:
CVC Brasil (-4.50%), BRF (-4.35%), Magazine Luiza (-3.88%), Assaí (-3.71%), Vamos (-3.55%).

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