Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Alphabet Nears The Global Value Crown Arabian Post


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Alphabet has moved within striking distance of becoming the world's most valuable company, as investor confidence in its artificial intelligence strategy reshapes Wall Street's view of Google's parent after years of concern that it had fallen behind rivals in the AI race.

Shares of the company have surged this year, lifting its market value to about $4.86 trillion by the close of trading on May 8, 2026. Nvidia remains ahead at roughly $5.27 trillion, but the gap has narrowed sharply as Alphabet's April rally, stronger-than-expected quarterly results and expanding AI infrastructure business changed the narrative around one of the world's most closely watched technology groups.

The turnround has been striking. Alphabet was widely criticised after early stumbles in generative AI, including product missteps that allowed Microsoft and OpenAI to frame the first phase of the market's enthusiasm. That perception has shifted as Google has pushed Gemini deeper into Search, Android, Workspace, Cloud and developer tools, while also expanding its in-house tensor processing units as an alternative to Nvidia's graphics processors for AI workloads.

First-quarter results strengthened the case that Alphabet is not merely defending its search franchise but using AI to extend it. Revenue rose 22 per cent to $109.9 billion for the quarter ended March 31, while operating income climbed 30 per cent to $39.7 billion. Google Search and other revenue rose 19 per cent to $60.4 billion, easing fears that AI chatbots would quickly erode the company's core advertising engine.

Google Cloud delivered the most powerful signal for investors. Revenue rose 63 per cent to $20 billion, while operating income more than tripled to $6.6 billion. The cloud backlog climbed to more than $460 billion, reflecting enterprise demand for AI infrastructure, Gemini-based tools and data services. The unit, once treated as a costly attempt to catch Amazon Web Services and Microsoft Azure, has become central to Alphabet's valuation story.

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Sundar Pichai, chief executive of Alphabet and Google, said the company's“full stack” approach to AI was“lighting up every part of the business”. The phrase has become important to the investment case. Alphabet controls advanced models, distribution through Search and Android, global data centres, enterprise software, YouTube, custom chips and a vast advertising network. Few rivals have comparable reach across the full AI chain.

The company's position in chips has drawn particular attention. Google's tensor processing units were once seen mainly as internal accelerators for its own services. They are now viewed as a strategic asset as customers seek alternatives to Nvidia's expensive and supply-constrained processors. Alphabet's partnership ecosystem, including demand from major AI developers, has reinforced the argument that the company could capture a larger share of infrastructure spending without relying solely on third-party silicon.

Gemini has also become a wider consumer and enterprise platform. Paid monthly active users for Gemini Enterprise rose 40 per cent quarter on quarter, while direct API usage of Gemini models reached more than 16 billion tokens per minute, up 60 per cent from the previous quarter. Alphabet said paid subscriptions across its services reached 350 million, helped by YouTube and Google One, giving the company another route to monetise AI features beyond advertising.

Waymo adds a further layer to Alphabet's AI credentials. The autonomous driving business has surpassed 500,000 fully autonomous rides a week, making it one of the few self-driving ventures operating at meaningful commercial scale. Although Other Bets still recorded a wider operating loss, Waymo's growth has strengthened investor belief that Alphabet's long-running experimental spending may yet produce businesses of material value.

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The rally has not removed risks. Alphabet's capital intensity is rising quickly, with purchases of property and equipment reaching $35.7 billion in the first quarter alone. Free cash flow was $10.1 billion for the quarter, down from the scale implied by its operating strength, as data-centre investment accelerated. The company issued $31.1 billion in senior unsecured notes during the quarter and later tapped euro bond markets, underlining how AI infrastructure is changing the cash profile of even the strongest technology balance sheets.

Regulatory pressure remains another major constraint. Google continues to face antitrust scrutiny in the United States and Europe over search, advertising technology, app distribution and digital market practices. Remedies in search and advertising cases could affect distribution agreements, data access, ad-tech integration or product design. The market has taken comfort from the absence so far of the most severe break-up outcomes, but legal uncertainty remains embedded in the valuation.

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The Arabian Post

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