Carney Liberals Are Poised for Majority in Crucial Canadian By-Elections

(MENAFN) Mark Carney’s Liberal Party is on the verge of securing a slim majority in Canada’s House of Commons, depending on the outcome of three closely watched by-elections held on Monday, according to reports.

The contests—taking place in two districts in the Toronto area and one near Montreal—could strengthen the party’s parliamentary position and reduce its reliance on opposition support to pass legislation. A majority would also potentially allow the government to avoid a general election until as late as 2029.

At present, the Liberals hold 171 of 343 seats, leaving them just one seat short of a technical majority. The potential shift follows a year of political consolidation under Carney’s leadership, including defections from opposition lawmakers to the governing party.

The Liberals are widely projected to retain the Toronto-area ridings of Scarborough Southwest and University-Rosedale. These seats were previously held by senior figures in the party, including former defence minister Bill Blair and former deputy prime minister Chrystia Freeland, who now serves as an adviser to Ukraine.

The third race, in Terrebonne near Montreal, is expected to be highly competitive between the Liberals and the Bloc Québécois. The riding has been closely contested in recent elections, including a previous result decided by a single vote before being overturned by the country’s top court due to a clerical error involving postal ballots.

According to reports, the by-election outcomes could prove decisive in shaping the stability and legislative capacity of Carney’s government in the coming years.

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