Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Blockchain Targeting A $500 Million IPO


(MENAFN- Investor Ideas) newswire) a trusted go-to platform for big investing ideas, including crypto stocks issues market commentary fromRyan Kirkley, CEO ofGlobal Settlement Network.

Markets Have Outgrown the Rules Built Around Them

I'm watching four stories this week because I think they tell us far more together than separately. Blockchain is reportedly targeting a $500 million IPO at a valuation of as much as $6 billion, OpenAI is discussing another $30 billion private raise at a potential $1.4 trillion valuation, the CLARITY Act has stalled after months of negotiations, and Bitget is dealing with the aftermath of a $388 million security breach.

What I keep coming back to is the gap between what markets can do today and what the infrastructure underneath them can actually support. We can move enormous amounts of capital across markets and jurisdictions almost instantly, but regulation, compliance and settlement still carry a lot of the friction of the financial system we had twenty years ago. I think that gap is now too large to ignore.

Crypto's Institutional Test Has ChangedAdvertisement

Blockchain's potential IPO matters because public markets require a different level of scrutiny. The company has reportedly discussed raising around $500 million at a valuation between $4 billion and $6 billion after confidentially filing with the SEC earlier this year.

Personally, I think that scrutiny is good for crypto. If you want institutional capital, you have to be prepared to answer institutional questions. What does the revenue actually look like? How strong is the governance? Where does the risk sit? How does the business perform when crypto prices fall and trading activity dries up? A good story can get investors through the door, but it cannot carry a public company forever.

We spent years debating whether institutions would take digital assets seriously, and I think we can stop having that debate now. They do. The harder question is whether the market underneath them is ready for the amount of institutional capital that could come next.

That is where the failure to advance the CLARITY Act becomes frustrating. Months of work have failed to produce an agreement, leaving some of the most basic questions about jurisdiction and digital asset market structure unresolved.

I do not read that as Washington rejecting digital assets, because the market has already gone well beyond that point. Banks, asset managers, payment companies and public companies already have exposure to digital assets, stablecoins and tokenized markets in one form or another. Congress can delay the rules, but it cannot pretend the market is waiting for permission to exist.

OpenAI Shows How Much Capital the Financial System Now Has to Carry

The OpenAI story might look completely separate from crypto, but I actually think it helps explain why the infrastructure conversation matters so much. The company is reportedly discussing another $30 billion raise at a valuation of as much as $1.4 trillion, while a potential IPO may not happen until 2027 at the earliest.

Those numbers are extraordinary, but what interests me is what sits underneath them. Companies can now reach enormous scale while remaining private, raise tens of billions of dollars from investors around the world and deploy that capital across compute, energy, data centers, talent and infrastructure in multiple markets.

AI needs chips and power, obviously, but somebody still has to finance it all. Investors need liquidity, companies need to move money across jurisdictions, counterparties need collateral and ultimately those transactions need to settle.

This is why I think we sometimes undersell the institutional case for digital asset infrastructure by reducing the conversation to whether a pension fund wants Bitcoin exposure. That is part of the market, but it is not the whole story. The more important question for me is how money, collateral and ownership move between institutions as the financial system gets larger and more complex.

Stablecoins, tokenized assets and programmable settlement matter when they solve those problems. If they can reduce the time and friction involved in moving capital while preserving compliance and certainty, there is a very obvious institutional use case. You do not need to believe every asset belongs onchain to recognise that the infrastructure used to move trillions of dollars can be better.

The Bitget Breach Shows What Happens When Speed Works Against You

Then you have Bitget, and I think this is where the conversation gets more uncomfortable. The exchange says roughly $388 million was lost in the breach, while CEO Gracy Chen has said she is not optimistic all the assets will be recovered. NEAR Intents says it blocked more than $50 million connected to the attack, while Tether and Circle blacklisted a wallet linked to the exploit and froze more than $300,000 in USDT and USDC.

Everyone will understandably focus on the security failure, but I think the response afterwards deserves just as much attention. Once compromised assets start crossing networks and venues, the clock is working against you. Exchanges, issuers and infrastructure providers have to identify what happened, trace the assets and coordinate quickly enough to do something about it.

That exposes a trade-off the industry sometimes avoids talking about. We want faster settlement because it reduces counterparty risk and gives institutions better access to liquidity, but speed can work against you when the controls around it are weak.

I do not think the answer is slowing the system down. The answer is building better controls into the system itself. Identity, compliance, custody, transaction monitoring and settlement cannot be treated as separate products that somebody stitches together afterwards. If we want institutions to trust digital markets with serious amounts of capital, all of those pieces have to work together.

Settlement Is Where All of This Gets Real

When I look across these stories, I do not see four unrelated developments. I see a crypto company preparing to ask public investors for hundreds of millions of dollars, an AI company potentially raising another $30 billion privately, lawmakers still arguing over the rules for digital asset markets and an exchange breach showing just how quickly hundreds of millions can disappear once something goes wrong.

The problem is not a shortage of capital or demand. We have plenty of both. The harder problem is making sure the infrastructure underneath that capital can handle what we are asking it to do.

And I think that is where the next phase of digital assets gets decided. Creating another token is not particularly difficult. Building a market where an institution knows who its counterparty is, where its liquidity sits, how its collateral moves, when a transaction becomes final, which rules apply and what happens when something breaks is much harder.

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