Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Independent Voters Move Toward Democrats Ahead of Midterms


(MENAFN) Independent voters are showing a growing preference for the Democratic Party as the November US midterm elections approach, according to the latest quarterly party affiliation figures.

Among respondents who do not identify as either Republican or Democrat, 49% say they lean Democratic, while 39% favor the Republican Party.

The Democratic Party’s lead among these independent-leaning voters has expanded by four percentage points since the first quarter of 2025, when President Donald Trump began his second term in the White House.

The trend is also becoming visible among voters who formally identify with a political party. Democrats now account for 31% of respondents nationwide, compared with 28% when Trump returned to office.

Despite the increase in Democratic identification, most Americans continue to describe themselves as independent or unaffiliated with either major party, although the proportion has shifted at different points during Trump’s second term.

The latest figures represent the Democrats’ strongest advantage over Republicans since 2008, according to reports.

Meanwhile, the number of independent voters who lean Republican has fallen by nine percentage points since the fourth quarter of 2022. The decline could create additional difficulties for Republican candidates in closely contested races, particularly as they seek support from moderate and centrist voters.

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