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Corruption Scandal Narrows Lula's Edge Over Bolsonaro in Brazil Poll
(MENAFN) Just weeks before Brazil's October general election, President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva's lead over challenger Flavio Bolsonaro has narrowed, as the president works to contain political damage from corruption allegations tied to his son.
A AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll published Monday puts Lula ahead of Bolsonaro 47.1% to 42.6% in a simulated runoff — a 4.5-point spread. A separate survey conducted by BTG Pactual/Nexus showed the race even closer, with Lula's edge over Bolsonaro narrowing further still.
Per the AtlasIntel findings, Lula's numbers have been dented by federal investigations targeting his eldest son, Fabio Luis Lula da Silva, better known as Lulinha. Investigators are looking into claims of influence peddling and improper lobbying connected to medical cannabis initiatives and procurement dealings within the Health Ministry.
The polling shows about 53% of those surveyed believe Lulinha tried to improperly steer government decisions in favor of business associates, and 55% say the probes are eroding the credibility of Lula's administration.
Lulinha is now facing three separate inquiries over alleged lobbying activity and improper access to health officials. His defense attorneys have pushed back hard against the accusations, insisting he broke no laws and framing the case as a politically driven attempt to derail the election.
For his part, Lula has defended his son's right to be presumed innocent and vowed not to meddle in the work of law enforcement, dismissing central allegations as speculative interpretations of intercepted conversations rather than proven fact.
The vote is taking shape against a backdrop of sharp political division, with legal investigations and combative social media battles heavily influencing how voters view the candidates.
Bolsonaro — a federal senator and eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro — is contending with troubles of his own. Federal investigators are scrutinizing his links to Daniel Vorcaro, a key figure in a sprawling bank fraud case. Brazil's Supreme Court has cleared the way for an investigation into claims that Bolsonaro solicited funding from Vorcaro to help finance a film chronicling his father's life. Bolsonaro has repeatedly maintained his innocence.
Looking at a wider first-round field, AtlasIntel has Lula in front with 43.4% of voting intentions against Bolsonaro's 33.7%, with the remaining candidates trailing well behind both frontrunners.
Voters in Brazil head to the polls for the first round on Oct. 4, with a runoff to follow three weeks later if no candidate wins an outright majority.
A AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll published Monday puts Lula ahead of Bolsonaro 47.1% to 42.6% in a simulated runoff — a 4.5-point spread. A separate survey conducted by BTG Pactual/Nexus showed the race even closer, with Lula's edge over Bolsonaro narrowing further still.
Per the AtlasIntel findings, Lula's numbers have been dented by federal investigations targeting his eldest son, Fabio Luis Lula da Silva, better known as Lulinha. Investigators are looking into claims of influence peddling and improper lobbying connected to medical cannabis initiatives and procurement dealings within the Health Ministry.
The polling shows about 53% of those surveyed believe Lulinha tried to improperly steer government decisions in favor of business associates, and 55% say the probes are eroding the credibility of Lula's administration.
Lulinha is now facing three separate inquiries over alleged lobbying activity and improper access to health officials. His defense attorneys have pushed back hard against the accusations, insisting he broke no laws and framing the case as a politically driven attempt to derail the election.
For his part, Lula has defended his son's right to be presumed innocent and vowed not to meddle in the work of law enforcement, dismissing central allegations as speculative interpretations of intercepted conversations rather than proven fact.
The vote is taking shape against a backdrop of sharp political division, with legal investigations and combative social media battles heavily influencing how voters view the candidates.
Bolsonaro — a federal senator and eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro — is contending with troubles of his own. Federal investigators are scrutinizing his links to Daniel Vorcaro, a key figure in a sprawling bank fraud case. Brazil's Supreme Court has cleared the way for an investigation into claims that Bolsonaro solicited funding from Vorcaro to help finance a film chronicling his father's life. Bolsonaro has repeatedly maintained his innocence.
Looking at a wider first-round field, AtlasIntel has Lula in front with 43.4% of voting intentions against Bolsonaro's 33.7%, with the remaining candidates trailing well behind both frontrunners.
Voters in Brazil head to the polls for the first round on Oct. 4, with a runoff to follow three weeks later if no candidate wins an outright majority.
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