Wall Street Has Priced Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA) For Perfection, That Might Not Be Enough
Nvidia (Nasdaq: NVDA) doesn't need to beat earnings expectations today, it needs to shatter them, warns the CEO of one of the world's largest independent financial advisory organisations.
Nigel Green ofdeVere Group's comments come as Nvidia prepares to report after the US market closes today (26 August), with Wall Street forecasting quarterly revenue near $92 billion and options traders pricing a swing of more than 5% in the shares once results land, worth close to $280 billion in market value in either direction.
AdvertisementThe backdrop into tonight's report looks unusually calm on the surface. Oil has fallen sharply this week, with US crude down more than 3% and Brent easing below $90 a barrel, while the 10 year Treasury yield has drifted toward 4.6% after weeks near its highs.
Both trends normally help expensive growth stocks such as Nvidia, since cheaper energy eases inflation pressure and lower yields make future profits easier to justify at today's prices.
A fresh reading on US inflation lands earlier in the day, before markets even get to Nvidia.
The deVere CEO says the order of events matters more than investors realise.
The scale of what is already priced in is the part Nigel Green wants investors to focus on.
Recent reactions across other companies linked to AI reinforce his caution. Several have posted strong quarters this year only to fall sharply because guidance, margins or spending plans landed a fraction below what an increasingly demanding market wanted to see.
Nigel Green says the lesson from those moves should not be ignored tonight.
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