Tuesday, 02 January 2024 12:17 GMT

Opinion Egypt And Qatar: When Oil Becomes The New Language Of Influence In The Eastern Mediterranean


(MENAFN- Daily News Egypt) At the heart of the geopolitical transformations reshaping the region, energy is no longer a mere economic resource-it has become a tool of influence and a lever in the balance of power. Within this context, the announcement that QatarEnergy has acquired a 27% stake in Shell's share of Egypt's offshore“North Cleopatra” block reveals a new phase in Cairo–Doha relations, raising questions that go far beyond investment to touch on the very meaning of sovereignty and influence in the Eastern Mediterranean's energy equation. The deal, quietly concluded with calculated political discretion, carries significance beyond figures and profits; it reflects the transition of Egyptian-Qatari relations from symbolic diplomacy to a realm of mutual strategic interest.

For years, Egypt has sought to consolidate its position as a regional energy hub, boasting infrastructure capable of exporting gas to Europe and hosting the region's most important energy forum. Within this framework, the Qatari partnership adds a new dimension to Egypt's energy portfolio. It offers Cairo both financial and technical momentum at a time when the country urgently needs large-scale investments to boost its offshore oil and gas development. It also reaffirms for global investors that Egypt remains a safe and attractive destination, even amid global economic uncertainty. Yet, this same step places Cairo in a delicate position, as it must carefully balance the need for financial partnerships with the imperative of preserving national sovereignty over its energy sector.

For Qatar, this acquisition forms part of a long-term strategy to redraw the map of its regional influence beyond traditional political channels. Having already established itself as a diplomatic force in regional mediation, Doha now appears to be pursuing a deeper form of economic influence-investing directly in critical energy assets across the region. Its entry into Egypt's economic waters is no coincidence; it is a calculated move into one of the most strategic crossroads between Europe and the Middle East, at a time when natural gas has emerged as a strategic substitute for traditional energy sources in the aftermath of the Russia–Ukraine war. In this sense, Qatar becomes a dual player: a political mediator when crises arise, and an economic partner when mutual interests align.




Dr. Marwa El-Shinawy

More importantly, the deal opens the door to a redefinition of the relationship between the Gulf states and Egypt. While the post-2013 period was marked largely by aid and financial grants, the new language of engagement is one of strategic investment and productive partnership. Egypt is no longer merely seeking financial support; it aims for partnerships that foster technological advancement, energy independence, and a strong presence in the global gas market. On the other side, Qatar recognizes that investing in Egypt offers it a strategic gateway to the Mediterranean and places it within the core of the regional gas network led by Cairo-positioning it advantageously amid rival blocs being shaped by Israel and Turkey.

The deal also reflects an evolution in Egypt's economic thinking. Cairo now approaches regional partners with a purely pragmatic lens, prioritizing mutual interest over political alignment. In the world of energy, alliances are not built on shared rhetoric but on shared benefits. Egypt-maintaining balanced relations with the Gulf, Turkey, and Israel, and extending its reach in Africa and the Eastern Mediterranean-understands that diversification of partners is one of the keys to resilience in an age of geopolitical fluidity. Thus, its openness to Qatar does not signal a political realignment so much as a strategic use of available opportunities within a broader national vision.

Still, the sensitivity of this file cannot be ignored. The“North Cleopatra” project lies within an economically and strategically significant maritime zone, near Egypt's most important gas discoveries in the Mediterranean. Any partnership in such an area goes far beyond a business deal-it touches the realm of national security. Here lies Cairo's greatest challenge: managing this partnership in a way that preserves full sovereignty and ensures that production, export, and pricing decisions remain firmly aligned with Egyptian priorities rather than external pressures or corporate interests. Successfully maintaining this balance-between transparency and openness on one hand, and economic security on the other-will determine the true success of this agreement.

Qatar's entry into Egypt's energy scene also sends implicit messages to other regional players. Its presence in a project jointly operated by Shell and Eni signifies an international acknowledgment of Egypt's central role in the Eastern Mediterranean gas equation. It also redraws the lines of Gulf–Mediterranean cooperation in a form quite different from older frameworks. This deal may, in fact, serve as a model for a new type of Arab collaboration based on economic complementarity rather than political rivalry-something the region now needs more than ever.

In the end, the“North Cleopatra” deal is far more than a commercial transaction. It signals Egypt's entry into a new era of managing its strategic resources with pragmatism and openness, while Qatar expands its soft power to encompass energy alongside politics and media. Between these two trajectories emerges a new equation in the Eastern Mediterranean-one that proves that those who control energy today hold not only wealth, but also the power to shape the future itself.

Dr. Marwa El-Shinawy – Academic and Writer

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