(MENAFN- Trend News Agency) BAKU, Azerbaijan, June 16. Energy
commodity prices declined in the first half of this year, but they
are expected to stabilize by 2024, Manager of the Prospects Group
in the Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions (EFI) Practice
Group at the World Bank (WB) Franziska Lieselotte Ohnsorge said
during the presentation of the WB's report, trend reports.
"However, there are downside risks, especially for
metal prices. If China's economic recovery turns out to be less
significant than expected, or its basis turns out to be more
related to consumption, this could affect metal prices. This is a
short-term prospect," she said.
Ohnsorge also drew attention to the long-term
perspective.
"The WB's analysis shows that fossil fuel exporters
are generally more dependent on resources than other commodity
exporters, such as metals and agricultural products. Fossil fuel
exporters are more dependent on resource revenues, the share of
resources in export revenues, government revenues and resource
rents in GDP. That is why they face a more serious political
problem in the long term," she stressed.
She noted that with the onset of the energy transition
and a decrease in demand for fossil fuels, exporters of this sector
will have to actively diversify their activities.
"Such a task can be very difficult. Some countries may
have an advantage in the form of a variety of fossil fuels, which
will allow them to cope with changes more smoothly. For example,
the demand for gas, as a cleaner fuel, can be maintained longer
than for oil," she added.
She predicts a general decline in demand for fossil
fuels in general, which will require countries to adapt to new
conditions.
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