(MENAFN- Trend News Agency)
Brazil's Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has a 12-percentage-point
lead over far-right incumbent President Jair Bolsonaro ahead of the
October election, according to a new poll published on Monday,
citing Reuters .
The survey by IPEC, formerly known as IBOPE, showed Lula with
44% of voter support against 32% for Bolsonaro in the first round
of the election schedule for Oct. 2.
In an expected run-off between the two men on Oct. 30, should no
candidate win 50% plus one of the valid votes, Lula would get
elected by 51% of the votes versus 35% for Bolsonaro, a 16-point
gap, the poll showed.
That advantage for the leftist former president is mirrored by
other polls, which have shown Brazil's most polarized presidential
race in decades narrowing in recent weeks.
Lula's lead has fallen from 26% in December to 18% in July,
according to Datafolha, another major polling firm, but the leftist
leader still had a 20% lead over Bolsonaro if the two men face off
in a run-off.
Bolsonaro has increased spending on welfare for poor Brazilians,
which may be improving his numbers. He has also pressed
state-controlled oil company Petrobras to lower the price of fuel,
a big factor in pushing up inflation.
Pollster Quaest, in telephone surveys, found Bolsonaro is now
statistically tied with Lula in Sao Paulo, the country's largest
electoral college, and has narrowed his rival's lead in Minas
Gerais, the state with second largest number of voters.
But another poll commissioned by investment bank BTG released on
Monday said Bolsonaro had lost ground again and dropped 4
percentage points to his rival who is leading by 11 points. Lula's
advantage also grew for an expected run-off to 15 points from 12 in
the previous BTG/FSB poll.
The IPEC poll said Bolsonaro's approval rating is at 29%,
compared to just 19% in December, while the number of voters who
see his government as bad or terrible has dropped to 43% from 55%
in the previous survey.
Still, 57% of Brazilians disapprove of the way Bolsonaro, a
former army captain and right-wing firebrand, governs the country,
while only 37% approve, according to IPEC.
It was IPEC's first national poll of voter intentions and
interviewed 2,000 people in person between August 12-14. The poll
has a margin of error of 2 percentage points up or down.
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