Andrew Dowdy

Date

11/26/2021 5:15:11 AM

(MENAFN- The Conversation) Principal Research Scientist, Australian Bureau of Meteorology Profile Articles Activity

Andrew specialises in extreme events including bushfires, thunderstorms, tropical cyclones, east coast lows and the hazardous weather they can cause (e.g., severe winds, rain, flooding, hail and lightning.

Experience

2007–present Research Scientist, Bureau of Meteorology
2006–2007 Policy Officer, Department of the Environment and Heritage
2001–2003 Lidar physicist, Australian Antarctic Division

Education

2005 University of Adelaide, PhD

Publications

2021 Extreme temperature, wind and bushfire weather projections using a standardised method,
2020 Climatology of thunderstorms, convective rainfall and dry lightning environments in Australia, Climate Dynamics
2020 Seamless climate change projections and seasonal predictions for bushfires in Australia, Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science
2020 Quantifying hail and lightning risk factors using long‐term observations around Australia, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2019 Climate change increases the potential for extreme wildfires, Geophysical Research Letters
2019 A Physically Based Climatology of the Occurrence and Intensification of Australian East Coast Lows, Journal of Climate
2019 Projections of southern hemisphere tropical cyclone track density using CMIP5 models, Climate Dynamics
2019 A global climatology of surface anticyclones, their variability, associated drivers and long-term trends, Climate Dynamics
2019 Wildfire and weather radar: a review, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2019 Future changes in extreme weather and pyroconvection risk factors for Australian wildfires, Scientific Reports
2019 Review of Australian east coast low pressure systems and associated extremes, Climate Dynamics
2019 On Determining the Impact of Increasing Atmospheric CO2 on the Record Fire Weather in Eastern Australia in February 2017, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
2019 Long-term changes in southern Australian anticyclones and their impacts, Climate Dynamics
2019 Review of tropical cyclones in the Australian region: Climatology, variability, predictability, and trends, Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change
2019 Historical extreme rainfall events in southeastern Australia, Weather and Climate Extremes
2019 Weather radar insights into the turbulent dynamics of a wildfire‐triggered supercell thunderstorm, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2018 Climatological variability of fire weather in Australia, Journal of applied meteorology and climatology
2018 Energetics and dynamics of subtropical australian east coast cyclones: two contrasting cases, Monthly Weather Review
2018 Mobile X-Pol radar: A new tool for investigating pyroconvection and associated wildfire meteorology, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
2018 Exploratory analysis of lightning-ignited wildfires in the Warren Region, Western Australia, Journal of environmental management
2018 Lightning prediction for Australia using multivariate analyses of large-scale atmospheric variables, Journal of applied meteorology and climatology
2018 Pyroconvection risk in Australia: Climatological changes in atmospheric stability and surface fire weather conditions, Geophysical Research Letters
2017 Extreme weather caused by concurrent cyclone, front and thunderstorm occurrences, Scientific Reports
2017 Classification of Australian Thunderstorms using Multivariate Analyses of Large-Scale Atmospheric Variables, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
2017 Climatological variability of fire weather in Australia, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2017 Pyrocumulonimbus lightning and fire ignition on Black Saturday in southeast Australia, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2016 Tropical cyclone track direction climatology and its intraseasonal variability in the Australian region, Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2016 Seasonal forecasting of lightning and thunderstorm activity in tropical and temperate regions of the world, Scientific Reports
2015 Large-scale modelling of environments favourable for dry lightning occurrence, MODSIM: ISBN: 978-0-9872143-5-5
2015 Climate Change in Australia Information for Australia's Natural Resource Management Regions: Technical Report, CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology
2015 East Coast Cluster Report, Climate Change in Australia Projections for Australia's Natural Resource Management Regions. Availabe here: CSIRO and Bureau of Meteorology
2015 Estimating trends and seasonality in Australian monthly lightning flash counts., Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
2015 Rainfall in Australia's eastern seaboard: a review of confidence in projections based on observations and physical processes., Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal
2015 Development of a global fire weather database for 1980-2012, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
2014 Fewer large waves for eastern Australia due to decreasing storminess, Nature Climate Change
2014 Lightning climatology of Australia: temporal and spatial variability, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal
2014 Long-term changes in Australian tropical cyclone numbers, Atmospheric Science Letters
2013 Large-scale diagnostics of extratropical cyclogenesis in eastern Australia, International Journal of Climatology
2013 Changes in the risk of extratropical cyclones in eastern Australia., Journal of Climate
2013 Understanding rainfall projections in relation to extratropical cyclones in eastern Australia, Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Journal
2012 An analysis of tropical cyclone occurrence in the Southern Hemisphere derived from a new satellite-era dataset, International Journal of Remote Sensing
2012 Tropical cyclone climatology of the South Pacific Ocean and its relationship to the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, Journal of Climate
2012 Atmospheric and fuel moisture characteristics associated with lightning-attributed fires, J. of Applied Met. and Climate
2012 Characteristics of lightning-attributed fires in south-east Australia, International Journal of Wildland Fire
2011 Large-scale indicators of Australian East Coast Lows and associated extreme weather events, CAWCR, Technical Report 37
2010 Index sensitivity analysis applied to the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index and the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index, Meteorological Applications
2010 Diagnosing indicators of large-scale forcing of east-coast cyclogenesis, IOP: Earth and Environmental Science
2009 Australian fire weather as represented by the McArthur Forest Fire Danger Index and the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index, CAWCR, Technical Report 10
2009 Atmospheric states associated with the ignition of lightning-attributed fires in southeast Australia, CAWCR, Technical Report 19
2007 Polar mesosphere and lower thermosphere dynamics, Part I: Mean wind and gravity wave climatologies, Journal of Geophysical Research
2007 Polar mesosphere and lower thermosphere dynamics, Part II: The response to sudden stratospheric warmings, Journal of Geophysical Research
2004 The large-scale dynamics of the mesosphere-lower thermosphere during the Southern Hemisphere stratospheric warming of 2002, Geophysical Research Letters
2003 First year of Rayleigh Lidar measurements of middle atmosphere temperatures over Davis, Antarctica, Advances in Space Research
2003 Further evidence of hemispheric differences in the MLT mean wind climatology: Simultaneous MF radar observations at Poker Flat (65°N, 147°W) and Davis (69°S, 78°E), Geophysical Research Letters
2001 A comparison of mean winds and gravity wave activity in the northern and southern polar MLT, Geophysical Research Letters

Professional Memberships

Australian Science Communicators
Member of the Science Advisory Panel of the Victorian Coastal Council
Australian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society (AMOS)
Member of Climate Change Project Team appointed by the Australasian Fire and Emergency Service Authorities Council
Member of the Climate risk Measurement Standards Initiative (CMSI)
IPCC Sixth Assessment Report Author

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