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- Major cryptocurrencies are showing more bearish short-term price action, suggesting that a period of consolidation may shortly end with major breakdowns below key support levels. Bitcoin looks especially vulnerable to a breakdown below $30K after making a fresh 2-week low just above that level while key support for Ethereum sits at $2K. These cryptos may be worthwhile buys if they bounce at these levels, but if the levels are fully broken, that will be a very bearish sign. If Bitcoin breaks below $30K, it could easily reach $20K or even $10K very quickly . Interestingly, Ethereum is looking less bearish than Bitcoin.
- WTI Crude Oil advanced again to make a new high above $70 for the first time in 2.5 years.
- Global stock markets, especially in the U.S. and Europe, continue to look bullish, but are not advancing to new highs.
- The Forex market is relatively quiet, with generally indecisive price action seen in the major currency pairs. This is likely to change when U.S. CPI (inflation) data and the ECB's monthly policy input are released Thursday.
- Today will see the Bank of Canada's monthly policy release and the U.S. 10-year Treasury auction. The USD/CAD currency pair is likely to see some movement, as well as other CAD crosses.
- Last week saw a fifth consecutive weekly fall in global new confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths, suggesting that the current wave of the pandemic is starting to retreat. The effects of the vaccination programs in the most developed economies are now being felt.
- Total confirmed new coronavirus cases worldwide stand at over 174.7 million with an average case fatality rate of 2.15%.
- The fastest progression in terms of immunizing a population against the coronavirus in all but the smallest states have been in Israel and Bhutan, which have given at least one shot to 63% of their entire populations, followed by Canada at 62% and the U.K. at 59%. For most of the world, a vaccine still remains distant. However the pace of vaccination in the European Union, which now has immunized 41% of its population, has picked up significantly. In the U.S., 51% of the population has been vaccinated.
- The rate of new coronavirus infections appears to now be increasing most quickly in Afghanistan, Algeria, Bangladesh, Cambodia, Chile, Colombia, Dominican Republic, Cambodia, Fiji, Guatemala, Haiti, Kuwait, Mongolia, Oman, Philippines, South Africa, Sri Lanka, Tunisia, and the U.A.E.
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