Gold Prices Slip as US-China Trade War Hope Saps Haven Demand


(MENAFN- DailyFX) Gold and Crude Oil Talking Points:

  • Gold pricesedged lower as more pro-cyclical assets found favor
  • Hopes that the US-China trade war thaw endures dominated the action
  • Crude oil pricesstruggled with production cuts reportedly in some doubt
-p

p-Join our analysts for live, interactive coverage of all major economic data at theDailyFX Webinars . We'd love to have you along.

-p

p-Gold was probably never going to thrive in Asian session right after that which saw US stock indexes hit new record highs.Sure enough prices headed lower.

Risk appetite was firm, on some more optimism over US-China trade, as reports crossed the wires that theWashington would consider removing some tariffs . Investors were clearly tempted back into riskier, growth correlated assets with havens like the gold and theJapanese Yenunloved.

Still, the haven market will look like all others to the day's economic numbers. These will include the US non-manufacturing indicator from the Institute for Supply management which will be even more closely eyed than usual following Monday's news that the manufacturing variant showed a third straight month of contraction.

Oil prices didn't share in the general risk asset cheer. They pared losses through the session, but investors are reportedly concerned that the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries may not be able to agree on extending and possibly deepening production cuts.

Of more immediate concern will be US inventory data from the Department of Energy due for release Tuesday. A surprise drawdown roiled markets two weeks ago but there has been stabilization since.

-p

p-Gold Technical Analysis-p

p-

The latest attempt at the topside of the current trading band seems to have been rejected.

Spot Gold, Daily Chart

Assuming the bulls don't rediscover enough fight to try again in the near term, then support from last week, in the $1503 area, will likely come into play quite soon. If that holds, expect to see another try at the range top. However, if support gives way, the $1490 area around which trade coalesced for much of mid-October will offer strong defense before bears can force a trial of the range base.

Crude Oil Technical Analysis-p

p-

US crude oil prices remain a clear bias higher with their dominant short-term uptrend channel under no obvious threat at current prices.

US Crude Oil Prices, Daily Chart -p

p-That said the most recent upward foray has not yet conclusively taken the market above its previous significant peak and, if it can't soon, there may be a little exhaustion that will need to play out before prices can move higher.

-p

p-Commodity Trading Resources

  • See our guide to learn about thelong-term forces driving crude oil prices
  • Having trouble with your strategy? Here's the#1 mistake that traders make
  • Join a free webinarand have your commodity market questions answered
-p

-- Written by David Cottle, DailyFX Research

Follow David on Twitter @DavidCottleFXor use the Comments section below to get in touch!

-p

p

p-


DailyFX

MENAFN0511201900760000ID1099223691


Legal Disclaimer:
MENAFN provides the information “as is” without warranty of any kind. We do not accept any responsibility or liability for the accuracy, content, images, videos, licenses, completeness, legality, or reliability of the information contained in this article. If you have any complaints or copyright issues related to this article, kindly contact the provider above.